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Kiel normally did not play games at margins of 50 goals last season, but the situation today is completely different. They already recorded unders at this margin with Balngen, Lemgo, Hamburg and Meskov. 52 goals were scored in their game in Zagreb, and 44 in Kiel with Lubbecke (24-21). They lost Palmarsson, haven't been able to count on Jicha for a while already, and all due respect to Canellas and Duvnjak, Kiel have not been the same team. Metalurg are even worse, having scored 22 goals to PSG, 24 to Meskov, and 17 to Zagreb. Given the situation at both teams, I don't think more than 50 goals can be scored today. Details

Strasbourg played the worst game of the season a few days ago in Germany, worst than the one against ASVEL for the Euroleague qualifications, but managed to win thanks to their back shot and luck in the last seconds. That win definitely boosted their self-confidence, Strasbourg are rushing and I don't think Dijon can stop them. Borg's team played two great games in a row after being completed, and whoever followed that club this and the last season, saw they're the completely different in home and away games. Today, they'll be guests against the very strong Starsbourg who are the strongest team of the league next to Limoges, and who play the Euroleague level lead by Collet, so I don't think they'll be able to stop them. They'll have big problems with Strasbourg's great defense, and I don't think they'll be able to play all 40 minutes in the same rhythm, which they have to do if they want to keep up. Strasbourg's roster has width this season, all the players play important roles, and what's most important, none of them play many minutes so they have time to regenerate. The best example is the match in Germany where Strasbourg were close to defeat, but only Campbell (28 minutes) played over 25 minutes. All the players got to the scorer list, and that versatility is something Dijon's defense will hardly find an answer to. Strasbourg crushed their opponents with their rhythm in the last weeks, never gave in, even when they solved their games till the half-time (Orleans, Orchesien, Pau Orthez), and this is their first home game after 20 days, the second one in the season, and the audience will be really interested. In the last seasons, they easily defeated Dijon here (+11, +18, +14), and I expect something similar today. Details

This is a duel between Metzingen, who have a Top 3 team for the championship, and Trier who are the main candidate to be eliminated, as shown by the beginning of the season. Trier lost all four matches in the championship, they lost to the second league club in the cup by 8, and their young team have a problem with the width. Metzingen started the season playing against the three best placed teams of the last season, Thuringen and Leipzig, who are the main candidates for the title this season as well. The team are hungry for the win and expect the maximum effect in the next four rounds. Their only win so far was against Goppingen, +9 on the rival's court. Goppingen defeated Trier +18 two weeks ago. Too much quality and experience on all lines in the home team, as well as the imperative to win at home for the first time make me see the match where the outcome will be a difference by 10 or 15 goals for Metzingen. Details

Igokea opened the ABA league with three consecutive defeats, which makes this meeting with Krka extremely important for them. Coach Jovanovic talked about defense when discussing this game, and with both teams defense-oriented, I don't expect an 'attractive' game tonight. I decided to go with under at Igokea because I simply don't see them as favorites in this game. Krka won their last three games, limiting Cedevita to 72 points, Partizan to 64, and Metalac to 59,while scoring 62, 61, and 60. I think this margin is set just a bit too high, since Krka proved on numerous occasions that their defense is good. I think Igokea will be left in the under, because Krka's chances only improve if not many points are being scored. Details

Lublin are new in the first league, and Tarnobrzeg have been playing in the Polish basketball elite for a few years, but that definitely doesn't mean the guests are a better team. Besides, these two clubs played pre-season games with the lineups almost the same as the ones that will come out to the court today. Lublin celebrated both at home (84-69) and in the away game (91-75). It's no surprise. Tarnobrzeg got tough defeats even against the second-league clubs in the pre-season, and started the championship with a double digit defeat against the unconvincing Palpharma, and then they were crushed against Turow last weekend. The guests' problem is the defense, and Lublin can definitely use that. THe home team are a lot more serious in the defensive segment. They almost defeated Slupsk in the away game in the last round, and only lost in the thriller final moments of the game, and they didn't look bad against Stelmet in the previous game, either. Tarnobrzeg's game reminds us of streetgame, and against an opponent this organized, they can hardly hope for a positive result. Details

It's obvious that these odds aren't the real image of the situation, even though they're based on the statistics and some previous results against each other. Glogow are having more and more injury issues each day. Kubala and Lucak are out for a longer period, and Bak, Gujski, Swiatek, Witkowski and Biegaj didn't practice this week at all, and probably won't go out today. So, coach Przybylsi can only rely on 8 players and two goalies, which makes it hard to deal with anyone. If a team like Slask or Nelba were on the other side, maybe I'd believe they can get a positive outcome, but they'll host Stal who are playing great. They started the season with 3 wins in a row, played well but were still weaker against Gornik, and then they were sensational in Plock and got a point. They did all that without two most important players, Kostrzewa and Krieger who's coming back today and will definitely be a reinforcement. Considering the home team's complicated situation, the fact that their only positive results were against the second-league clubs, and the guest team's great form, I believe Stal's win is very likely, and worth taking. Details

Koper don't have the home field advantage, because they have five defeats in six matches at home. They'll host the really good Zavrč who have three consecutive wins, played five rounds without a defeat, and unlike the home team, they don't have absences issues. Koper started working better lately, but Zavrč are definitely playing a level better than the home team. Details

Neither coach have too much reasons to be happy since their respective defenses aren't doing well at the moment. Kielce had a lot of problems last week home as they met Motor. If Sego hadn't saved two seven-meter throws in the finish, they would have been in a lot of trouble. I opted for the over at 57-58 goals then, but only 56 were scored, with a total of 6 seven-meter throws missed. Kielce had to do without their key back player Zorman, but he was given a week off just to prepare for this game. Buntic is back as well, Aguinagalde maybe. Dunkerque struggle with offense performances which is why this margin is set lower than usually when it comes to Kielce games. Dunkerque are not at last season's level, as Istres proved a few days ago. Dunkerque were in the 15-12 lead at half time, but then stopped. Even at their best offense performances last season, their games with Kielce ended with 56 and 55 goals scored. In the last 14 games (some of the preseason games included), Kielce had 13 overs, with only one under (Chambery, 28-20). Details