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Alignsas high pace almost managed to get the defense-oriented Flensburg over this margin. They now meet Kolding, a Danish team currently much better than the Germans when it comes to offense (scored 35 goals against Flensburg). Alingsas' defense is some two levels below Flensburg's defense, and Kolding should easily get over the 30-goal-margin today. Home team's offense, however, seems to be doing much better than defense so we can expect them to score quite a few goals. Everything suggests that a lot of goals will be scored in this game, and the team's overs are just as good a choice as the total goals over. Details

Such quotas are a consequence of Malmo's three consecutive losses. But, we should keep in mind that they were against Ystads, Lugi and Kristianstadt who are candidates for the top of the league table, and besides, Malmo could've reached victory in all three games. RIK, on the other hand, are one of the teams who could reach Kvalserien which means they are, quality-wise, quite below the teams Malmo have been playing against so far. While the away team have only two to three quality players (Sjostrand, Arnesson, Stojcevski), the home team has a greater number of those. Malmo is not only better on an individual level, but they also have a lot better rotation possibilities, and an additional motive is the female team playing after them today, so they should in no way allow their opponents an egal match. A lot more realistic seems the hosts' win with 4-5 goals of difference, especially since the middle back Tonessen is back in the game, and with him the whole team plays better. Also, it's important to note that Malmo's defense specialist Andersson is also completely recovered for today's match, and RIK is, offense-wise, a very limited team so this should be another difficulty for them. Details

Both Macedonia and Italy have similar game style with a lot of shots coming from their back player and long lasting attacks. Macedonia's goal keepers are not on top of their game, which they try to make up for by playing a more aggressive defense. Italy play with the same three back players in the game for the entire 60 minutes, but their goal keeper is the key figure on the team. They take their time in offense and have poorly organized fast brakes, which results in a small number of goals scored. All of their previous 6 qualifying games for the 2014 EC were under this margin, all four with the Netherlands and Spain (both much better teams than Macedonia, especially the Dutch, who are capable of playing fast pace games). Details

All the praise to Mona Barthel on her good shape and victory in the first round, but she didn't impress me in Linz. Kiki didn't even deserve the main roster and in the match against Barthel she was the one making more mistakes, as strange as that may sound. Her game was passive, she returned too many short balls and gave herself to the mercy of Barthel. Pliskova, on the other hand, thrilled me. Flipkens' slices presented no trouble for her and she was equally good behind the first and the second serve. That is where the reason of this bet lies. Barthel decided for a risky first serve against Bertens. True, she won 88% of the points behind it, but she managed to threw it in in only 49% of the chances. Pliskova will know how to use the low percentage of throw-ins, just as Safarova knew that in Beijing. Besides the serve advantage, she could play her out in fast exchanges and in this match she should be victorious, while covering the handicap. That same handicap she already covered once this years against Barthel, on Bad Gastein clay, a surface she prefers less than indoor tennis. Details

Kifisia have had their most successful season ever, having ended it among the top five teams in Greece. Despite all the changes that happened on the team during the summer, coach Papatheodoru is still in charge, and with no plans of changing his goals. Kifisia are still well-experienced and won't rush into the unknown. Their games against the Greece teams, all of which ended with a small total number of points scored (Apollon 124, Dramas 132, Panelefsiniakos 110, Rethymno 128, with the exception of more offense-oriented team) only go to prove that. They are facing what is possibly the toughest team in the league today. The defense was the key aspect of Aris's last season's performances. They won the Nikos Galis Cup, having limited Banvit to 48 and CSKA to 59 points. 121 points were scored in their game with Dramas. The only exception in their record is the game with Lukoil, after which the coach criticized his team's defense performance. It was the only game in which they conceded more than 65 points. But, that won't be easy today since Aris struggle against good-quality tough teams. Coach Prifis says they're tired, which means they'll probably try and slow the pace down even more than usual. Kifisia like slow pace games as well, and since this is their first official game and not everything is organized at right level, they should do much better in defense than in offense. Defense is what both coaches are focusing on while preparing their teams. Since one of the two greatest Greek clubs will be knocked out today, and since Panonios struggle, this might be a perfect opportunity for both teams to get far in this competition. I therefore expect a big fight today. I think 130 or maybe even less points are bound to be scored in this game, and given all the circumstances, this margin has a great value. Details

I placed the very same bet at this year's Wimbledon at odds below 1.8. It may have lacked value, but it was simply one of those bets you can't miss out on. Three sets were decided in tie-break back then, with the final one extended as well. That means there was only one break in 4 sets. The odds are better today just because of the assumption that grass is a faster surface than hard court. But, Shaghai is proving to be tricky precisely because of the speed on the surface. Isner beat Johnson yesterday in a match where neither managed to win a break, while Lopez lost his service game once in five sets he did so far (to Nadal). Both have amazing service stats, which is why expect a lot of tie breaks today. I decided to go with the first set because all good servers focus on their deadliest weapon in the beginning, and change strategies later on, depending on the score. Details