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Tips archive
  • Basketball 
  • Handicap (OT incl.) -13.5 tip: 1
    14.01.2017. 20:00
    Result: 84:78
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.88
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >-14.5
    Published: 14.01. 12:48
    Bookmaker:
     
    Caceres went to this away game without their main play Marco, and the important center Riauka didn't practice the whole week due to back problems and he almost certainly won't play today. Since a few days ago they ended their contract with Nathanaelsson, and they haven't found a replacement, they will have a very thin frontcourt, and Breogan are the strongest in the the paint where players such as Gilling, Stainbrook and Fakuade are great lately. Bereogan are complete and they're in swing again which they've lost for a short time in December. They tied three wings, they beat last weekend the might Burgos who were on an eight-game winning run in an away game with +9, before that the strong Ourense at home with +13. At home they rarely lose, their record is 8-2. They lost to Huesca at the start of the season when they had problems with absences, and recently to Arberri who have been very good in the past month.
    Caceres recorded five wins in the last seven rounds. They fell with -15 against Palencia, -22 against Burgos, -24 against Ourense. In away games their record is 1-7. They were beaten by teams such as weak Marin. They only beat Arberri, which is the exception confirming the rule.
    In the first head-to-head this season Breogan won in Caceres with 63 points of difference. Today we shouldn't expect something like that, but the circumstances are such that I expect Breogan's convincing win. They're in good shape and complete, in the hunt for the first place, they're strong at home. Caceres have been limited to 6-7 players who will have full playtime. They aren't convincing in away games, and lately they lost to teams the quality of Breogan. Breogan are the owners of the strongest offense of the second league, they're fast, so it's no wonder they don't suit Caceres. Details
  • Basketball 

    Champions League AEK Athena - Ludwigsburg

  • Handicap (OT incl.) -5.5 tip: 1
    10.01.2017. 20:00
    Result: 82:72
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.82
    Stake: 10/10
    Profit: +8
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >-7.5
    Published: 10.01. 11:20
    Bookmaker:
     
    AEK's coach, Jure Zdovc, says ahead of every Champions League game that they are going for the win, that it's their most important game. Today's game against Ludwigsburg is really their most important game. AEK are at 6-5 record, they compromised their situation with bad away performances, and if they lose today, they cannot count on the second position and direct advancement, their situation would complicate even more, and their advancement would come into question. AEK showed this season that they are home court oriented, it's not easy for anyone to play at their arena, so of the 11 official games, they lost only one, to the leaders of the group, Besiktas, who obviously don't suit them. AEK lost at Ludwigsburg in a tight finish, I expect the Greeks to be much more determined today. On Saturday, at home, they defeated Aris, who have been in great form, by 20 points, and in the Champions League they recently defeated Spirou by 20, Partizan by 10, Sassari by 20, and they concede less than 70 points on average at home. The great news is that they are complete, Vasileiadis is back, Mavroeidis is fully fit, and new center Elonu is clearly a real reinforcement.
    Ludwigsburg have been good in the Champions League, they secured their advancement, they are still fighting for the second position, but they are not as convincing away as they are at home. In the Champions League they lost at Stelmet and Partizan, won at Sassari. This entire season, if we look at difficult away games, they did not fare well. They lost by 17 at Ulm and Bayreuth, and by 29 at Bayern, plus these two Champions League defeats.
    Considering AEK's defensive performances at home, a solid option here is a team under on the Germans, but even better option is the Greek's win in handicap because they will not only go for the win, they will want to win by over five to have a better head-to-head record against Ludwigsburg and that way stay in the battle for the second position in the group. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Total points (OT incl.) 143.5 tip: Under
    07.01.2017. 16:00
    Result: 79:65
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.93
    Stake: 10/10
    Profit: -10
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >142.5
    Published: 07.01. 11:00
    Bookmaker:
     
    Lavriou say that today's match is very important, key. They're hosting Apollon, a team who are very close to them on the table, so it's normal they're having high expectations, and the similar thing is with Patras club. If we take a look at Lavriou's games so far against teams similar to Apollon, we can again expect a firm and defensively-oriented game. With Kolossos, today's hosts ended at 132 points, against faster Kymis at 144, against Trikala in a crushing at 142, away against fast Koroivos at 146 in regular time, against Lefkadas at 127, against Promitheas at 125, those are comparable clubs. Against AEK, Panathinaikos, Olympiacos and Aris they all convincingly lost, so I wouldn't compare those matches to today's. In total, they have a record of 8-4 favoring unders on the set margin.
    Apollon also has a record of 8-4 in the favor of unders, they ended like this against comparable clubs: Kymis at home at 135, Kolossos away at 130, Lefkadas at home at 139, Promitheas at home at 120, Trikala away at 125. They went over today's margin against run-and-gun Koroivos, very fast Rethymno and against PAOK and Panathinaikos, but the matches against the strongest of Greece's teams aren't that important for today's match.
    Lavrio recently played a match against second league Ethinoks, they won with 69-67, and once more they showed their typical game. Today I don't expect attractive basketball, more a fight for every point. We have two offensively limited teams on averages of under 69 points, it's hard to think anyone will get crushed here, I expect an equal fight on low numbers, under 140 points. Lavrio are on average at home at 140 points, Apollon away at 143, however, if you only take a look at matches with teams of similar quality, then those averages are well under 140. Details
  • Basketball 
  • 1st half handicap -11.5 tip: 1
    30.12.2016. 20:30
    Result: 89:74
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >-13
    Published: 30.12. 15:40
    Bookmaker:
     
    I have no big statistical support when it comes to Braunschweig, they rarely lose convincingly, they obviously rose in shape, they're not at the level they were at the start when they looked like they stumbled into the first league by mistake. Again, for me it's all about how will Bayern start the game, and for a couple of reasons I believe they'll start off right from the start. The club's manager Marko Pesic doesn't often give statements, but after the defeat by Ulm, it's clear they have to be fully focused, play with the right approach and that they have to take Brauncshweig seriously. This defeat by Ulm obviously struck the Bavarians, and this season shows that after defeats their reactions in the following game were great. They lost to Zenit, and then they crushed Alba with around 40 points of difference (it was +18 at half-time), after the defeat by Brose they crushed Buducnost in an away game (+14 at half-time), after the defeat by Telekom they beat Frankfurt in the championship with +20 (+7 at half-time) away, then Ludwigsburg at home +29 (+23), and at Jena +44 (+29). Only after the second defeat by Zenit they weren't that convincing against Rasta, that was the part of the season in which the emphasis was at Eurocup and in securing the pass into the Top 16.
    Brauncshweig lost with only -12 against Ulm. At the time, Ulm were weakened and they obviously underestimated their opponents, and I don't believe that will happen to the Bavarians who at home convincingly outplayed one Bayeruth (+16 at half-time). A lot depends on the circumstances when it comes to Bayern, they say they'll take Brauncshweig seriously, even though they rarely allow themselves two weaker home games. Quality-wise, they're above Braunschweig who raised their shape, but they're still candidates for the relegation battle, a team with short rotation. Details
  • Basketball 

    Greece 1 Aris - Lavriou

  • 1st half handicap -8.5 tip: 1
    26.12.2016. 16:00
    Result: 98:77
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.80
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: +4
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >-10
    Published: 26.12. 15:52
    Bookmaker:
     
    Aris had a pretty slow start to the season, mostly due to all the injury struggles. They lost Sanikidze right away, Kavvadas and Buckner got injured soon after and then important players like Jenkins and Jankovic. Their form is much better now, the subs for those injured players fit in well on the team and things are overall much better. They are on a 6-game winning run looking at the Greek championship. They are on a 6-game winning run overall. They had a +17 lead after 20 minutes over Lefkadas, +16 over Kolossos home, +16 over Kyrmis home and last round +22 over Apollon away. They had a 13-point lead over Ironi on Tuesday on Tuesday.
    Lavrio are 3-8. They beat Lefkadas by 1 away but against better teams, they have not done too well away. They lost to AEK by 40 (-25 at half time). They were at -7 against Rehtymno, at -14 against Promitheas, -10 even against feeble Koroivos. Aris' defense is among the best ones in the league. Lavrio are quite modest offense wise and I expect the visitors to struggle quite a lot on the offensive end. Aris are 7-4 which is not what they expected so far. They are, however, making a progress. The form now and at the start of the season cannot be compared. The team from Thessaloniki have opened the last few rounds brilliantly and I expect something similar today. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Home team total points (OT incl.) 74.5 tip: Under
    26.12.2016. 15:30
    Result: 88:92
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 10/10
    Profit: -10
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >72.5
    Published: 26.12. 15:22
    Bookmaker:
     
    The meeting between Bayreuth and Brose this season is not just a local Oberfranken derby match. It's a derby at league level as these teams are in spot 4 and 2 in the table. Bayreuth are 6-1 home, they play a great offense but also a very good defense. They have 7 unders and 7 overs at this margin and have gone over this margin only against Ulm and Alba, that is, against very fast teams with top defenses in the league. Brose are a completely different kind of a team, they have 10 unders and 5 overs and are under 150 on average away. No one in Bundesliga has such a powerful defense (thy allow 66 on average) and I don't think Bayreuth will be at their usual offensive numbers today.
    This is a local derby match in which tensions are high, the games in Bayreuth are tough. Since Trinchieri took over at Brose, they won 85-53 and 69-50 in Bayreuth. They met once this season, at end of preseason when Brose won 84-53 in Bayreith. The visitors are the favorites again but Bayreuth have improved form in the meantime. The 12-2 record says it all and I don't expect them to fall apart like in preseason. Brose got limited to under 150 with run-and-gun teams Ulm and Telekom. And interestingly, this is a meeting between teams with the least possessions in Bundesliga. That means they won't rush into anything. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Home team total points (OT incl.) 84 tip: Over
    17.12.2016. 16:00
    Result: 101:70
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.94
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: +4.7
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >84.5
    Published: 17.12. 11:44
    Bookmaker:
     
    The Greek league is known an extremely defensive one. However, there are exceptions, teams who don't care about defense. Koroivos are practically like that. They have the worst defense of the league, on average they allow 84.4 points, and in away games 92. The way their style is was best shown in the last game when one very slow Trikala, who are also owners of the worst offense of the league, recorded over 70 shots from the floor, and mostly due to around 20 turnovers by Koroivos. So far, today's away team recorded 93 points against Kymis, they lost with -23; with Panathnaikos 96 (-31), against defensively oriented Kolossos 90 (-2), against offensively limited Apollon 92 (-26), and in the last away game against AEK 89 (-14). Rethymno on average record around 74 points, however at home they're on average of 82.5 which is no wonder because they're very home oriented. At home they're on a record of 4-0. In the last home game they recorded 89 points in regular time against Promitheas, 84 against defensive Trikala, 88 against an even more defensive Lavri. The only difference is the match against Aris, but it's known how Aris play and the fact that Rethymno remained below 70 in that match is not important for this pick. What's more important is that Koroivos are very fast, they're defensively weak, especially in away games, and it's known that Rethymno don't mind the fast pace, that they're best in the rebound in the Greek championship, and their opponents's style will enable them a large number of points from transition. I don't see a match in the championship in which Rethymno's offense could be more prominent than today, and that's why my choice here is the hosts' team over, even though other good options are handicap of the entire game and handicap of the first half. Details
  • Basketball 

    Champions League Usak Sportif - PAOK

  • Home team total points (OT incl.) 76.5 tip: Under
    14.12.2016. 18:00
    Result: 78:77
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >74.5
    Published: 14.12. 17:48
    Bookmaker:
     
    Usak had a turbulent season so far, and that means bad results. They only have 2-6 score in the FIBA Champions League, and they were crushed by Neptunas last week, falling apart in the second period already. They lost to ASVEL convincingly the round before that, and their only convincing win was against the stumbling Varese at home when they also fell apart in the second period. So, those two games marked with second periods pumped up their statistics (scored 88 and 87 points). Neither of the rest went over 74 in the regular time, and that was their score against Ventspils at home. They also hit 65 against Neptunas at home, and 60 to Oldenburg.
    PAOK didn't have a great season so far either, but they have been consistent defensively in the Champions League. They are one of the best teams in that regard because they only allow about 66 points, not counting the overtimes. They allowed 65 against Rose away, 70 against Varese, 68 against Neptunas and 67 against Oldenburg. They didn't allow over 71 in any of the home games in regular time. They left Usaka at 52 at home (PAOK won the home one 91-68 in the preseason).
    It should be pointed out that Usak fired two important players recently - the point guard Lyons whose average was 14.8 points and 6.9 assists in the CL, and the center Monroe (13.4 points with 8 rebounds). True, they've got Harrison and Auguste in their roster, who weren't playing their first duel against PAOK, but McKissic is not ready by any stretch, and losing their main point guard and a decent center, paired with their unconvincing form are definitely not the best start for the duel against the tough Greeks. I doubt Usak will push their rhythm here, I don't see PAOK as an outsider, and if the guests don't win, they will give a very hard time to the hosts' offense, like they did to the teams even better than Usak. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Handicap (OT incl.) -17 tip: 1
    10.12.2016. 18:00
    Result: 78:66
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 10/10
    Profit: -10
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >-19.5
    Published: 10.12. 11:12
    Bookmaker:
     
    I waited for some new information about Polpharma's best players' suspension being lifted, but that didn't happen last night, which means the away team in Dabrowa Gornicza will be very weakened. Their leaders, backs Hicks and Miles, are missing today's match. Together they're on an average of around 30 points, last weekend at home without them they lost to the unconvincing Szczecin with 17 points of difference, they significantly fell in the second half.
    Dabrowa are a team who so far left a better impression in second halves, under Anzulovic they're pretty aggressive, they have the width and at home they're very uncomfortable. Their home record is 6-1, they beat Assec with +23, Lublin with +20, Anwil with +14, they also beat at home Stelmet and Rosa, Trefl with +37 in the last championship, even though they were weakened. Today center Parzenski is back, in the meantime they brought back shot Wesley (in Kataja at the start of the season 15 points on average in Champions League), and coach polpharme Budzinauskas points out that except Hicks and Miles it's not sure whether the injured center Sajus will help, lay Flieger is struggling with a flu, and wing center Markovic is also complaining of problems.
    Such Pokpharma quality-wise are not on Trefl's level, to which they recently lost at home, and surely they're not on the level of Anwil, Assec, teams Dabrowa convincingly beat. In away games they fell to Turow with -26, they beat Stal, lost to Torun with -8, but the Hicks-Miles duo were leading the game, recently they lost in Lublin where Hicks-Miles recorded together 50+ points. All in all, we have a strong home team in very good shape, and very weakened away team, and I think Polpharma can't be equal opponents here, and that they will fall down significantly as the match goes on. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Total points (OT incl.) 143 tip: Under
    10.12.2016. 16:00
    Result: 71:59
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.94
    Stake: 10/10
    Profit: +9.4
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >142
    Published: 10.12. 11:44
    Bookmaker:
     
    Kolossos have shown so far that their accent will be on the defense, everything they've won was over defense, the exception was only the game against Koroivos, but that Koroivos is a Greek version of a run-and-gun team. At home they beat Kymis with 64-54, Lefkadas with 77-60, Promitheas with 76-59, against offensive Rethymn they played a match at 140 points. In away games Kolossos ended at 144 against Aris, 145 against Panathinaikos, 142 against Olympiacos, and 158 against PAOK, but realistically, they can stand up to anyone in away games. Those were mostly matches which were quickly decided.
    At home Kolossos on average play matches at 141.6 points. Apollon are at 146 in away games, but we have to point out that they played against Olympiacos, Panathinaikos and PAOK. They lost all of those, and allowed over 80, which was expected. The only team who get into the rank of weaker teams they played away games with were against Trikala at 125 points. At home against Koroivos they went well over 150, but what's more important is that against Lefkadas they stayed under 140, as well as against Promitheas, teams which can be compared to Kolossos.
    In the pre-season, Kolossos and Apollon played a match at a tournament on Crete, at the time Apollon won with 68-63. Last season at Rhodos they ended at 114 points, in Patras at 132. I expect something similar today, I don't see this match close to 140 points, I don't expect the match to fall apart. Both teams don't have some big offensive quality and in clashes with similar clubs this season they remained at low numbers. Details
  • Basketball 

    Belgium 1 Oostende - Leuven

  • 1st half handicap -8.5 tip: 1
    03.12.2016. 20:30
    Result: 86:76
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: +4.15
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >-10.5
    Published: 03.12. 20:24
    Bookmaker:
     
    In the second round of the Belgian championship, Oostende lost to today's opponents Leuven in an away game with -9. They were leading at half-time and at the beginning of the final quarter they had +7, and then they came to a complete stop in the last quarter and lost that period with 16-32. and surprisingly, the Bears won. In the first round Oostende lost to Mons with 66-79 at home, and before that they lost at home in the Supercup to Antwerp, and in the pre-season they also mostly lost. The reason for the weaker pre-season and the start of the championship could be explained by the lack of four national team players during the whole summer, all important players, and a couple of also key ones who were plagued by injuries, like Gillet. The Belgian champions needed some time to get together. Gjergja also brought some new faces (Mwema) and the Champions League began...
    For today's prediction the important fact is that they're together, in the right shape, and now they look like they did last season. In the Champions League they beat Avellin, Canarias, they tightly lost to Mega and then on Wednesday they beat Cibona. In Belgium, after being defeated by Leuven, they beat the strong Brussels at home with 17 points of difference (by half-time it was +15), Liege with 28 (21), Okapi with 23 (16), and they only had a hard time reaching points at home against Antwerp (+5). However, the Giants are extremely competitive this season, I daresay next to Oostende. In the last two rounds Willebroek, Oostende won in an away games with 22 points of difference (half-time +22), last Satuday they beat Mons in an away game with +10 (+9).
    The win over Mons best paints the picture of their better shape they are now than they were at the start of the season, and definitely the motivational element of a revenge will be present today. Leuven solidily started out the championship, in the first four rounds they recorded three wins. But, realistically, the Bears don't have a bigger quality compared to last season when they ended at the very bottom, they don't have the width, and as the rounds go by, their shape is on the fall. They're on a six-game losing run, in the last three they lost with more than 15 points of difference, as much as they lost at home to Liege, in an away game against Okapi they fell with -18, they lost to Limburg in the last round also with -18 (Limburg were on a seven-league game losing run). In away games their record is 0-5. Last season, by the end of first half, they were losing in Oostende with 13 points of difference. Tonight, as the worst case scenario, I expect something similar. Oostende said they remember well the defeat in Leuven, their shape then and now can't be compared, and that they won't head light-headed into the game. Details
  • Basketball 

    Belgium 1 Mons - Oostende

  • Total points (OT incl.) 150.5 tip: Under
    26.11.2016. 20:30
    Result: 60:70
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 10/10
    Profit: +8.3
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >148.5
    Published: 26.11. 20:24
    Bookmaker:
     
    Yves Defraigne has been at Mons for a long time now and club phylospohy isn't changing. They rely on tough defense and aggressve game. That may be more obvious than ever this season. Mons have the best defense int eh league after the first quarter of the season. They allow 71 point on average but also have the worst offensive end, which hits around 75 on average. Those numbers are even lower home. Oostende are better offensively, there is no doubt about it (average around 81) but we all know what Belgian league is like. Most teams play fast without real defense. Oostende have the second best defense (allow around 74) and that is important here, just like the fact they played Mons at 145 points in the first round, hitting just 66. Mons were mostly under 150 back then and even Limited Limburg to 57 points. They barely went over 140 with Antwerp, at 134 with Brussels, at 134 with Spirou.
    Oostende finished with Spirou at 143 in the greatest derby of the Belgian league and went over this margin in most other games. Given the game style of their opponents, that is no surprise or that important for this game because they play much differently than most Belgian teams. They got limited to under this margin twice with fast-paced Telekom in FIBA Europe. Oostende play Champions League and base everything on defense. They recently played Mega at 146 points, Canarias at 128, Juventus at 128, Strasbourg at 138, Mornar at 146. They were limited to under 150 this season against all more serious defense oriented teams. The Belgian champions are a bit better than before. They lost some important shooters last season and didn't replace them with players of same quality. They recently acquired Mwema who won't get much in offense but will contribute defensively and athletically. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Handicap (OT incl.) +20.5 tip: 2
    26.11.2016. 18:00
    Result: 77:97
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.90
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >22.5
    Published: 26.11. 12:44
    Bookmaker:
     
    Hagen were trashed in Ulm last weekend. I expected them to lose easily but not by 52 points. Once again we saw that Hagen were not at last season's level. They have huge defense problems (allow 94 points, more than any other team int e league). They never beat Bayern and have lost easily even back when they were much better. The Bavarians have secure the Eurocup Top 16 and they haven't gone back to Munich. They stayed in Spainto prepare for Hagen in peace. All the players did the last practice, even Lucic, who struggled with an injury.
    I don't see Hagen staying up to them for a longer period of time. They played teams in spot 8-16 in the table home so far and lost most of those games. They lost to Tubingen by 22 in the last home game (by 11 at half time), to Giessen by 19 (14), to Jena by 13 (19) and to Wurzburg by 10 and Gottingen by 9. They left a better impression in those games. But they have not yet faced a team like Bayern home. Hagen are by far the weakest team Bayern will play away. We have to use this situation at Hagen, who don't seem like a top league team. Details
  • Basketball 

    FIBA Europe Cup Lami-Ved Kormend - Gronigen

  • Total points (OT incl.) 155.5 tip: Under
    23.11.2016. 18:00
    Result: 72:79
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.87
    Stake: 10/10
    Profit: +8.7
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >154.5
    Published: 23.11. 11:44
    Bookmaker:
     
    FIBA Europe Cup has a specific competition system. Since top two teams in each group advance, and then two best third-placed teams from each of the two conference (there are three teams in some groups). The results against the teams that finish 4th are not taken into consideration for advancement. In other words, even though they are currently at 3-2 record, both Kormend and Groningen are actually at 1-2 if we look at the situation from the aspect of 3rd position. So the team that loses here will have a total record 3-3, but actually 3-1, their record from the games against 4th placed Limburg will be deleted, and both teams improved their point difference against them. The Hungarians are doing better in the point difference aspect, but if they lose more convincingly, they could be eliminated, and it is even more likely for the Dutch. The winners will definitely go into the 2nd round of the Europe Cup. In their first head-to-head this season, Groningen won 79-74, but the importance of the game is greater today. Last year these teams, lead by the same coaches, also played the FIBA Europe Cup. Kormend won at home 75-72, Groningen won at home 78-71.
    - Groningen are a strong team, especially physically. It will be important to be aggressive and strong from the start. We have long 40 minutes ahead of us and no one can expect an attractive game with a lot of points. Of course we want to score as much as possible, but this game will be based on defense - said Kormend's coach, Teo Cizmic.
    Both teams' average in the Europe Cup is above today's margin, but there is that Limburg factor, a team that do not play defense and play super fast basketball, so Kormend and Groningen played played efficient games against them, Kormend suffered a heavy defeat at Gravelines, the game fell apart early and went up to a high number of points. I don't expect it to fall apart today, we have equally good teams in an important game, they faced each other three times in a short period and they haven't gone over today's margin, I don't expect them to go over tonight either. Details
  • Basketball 

    Germany 1 Ulm - Hagen

  • 1st half handicap -11.5 tip: 1
    19.11.2016. 18:00
    Result: 116:64
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: +4.15
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >-12.5
    Published: 19.11. 11:48
    Bookmaker:
     
    Ulm have no defeats in Bundesliga, they're on a 9-0 record, they're solid in Eurocup where only Valencia crushed them twice, apparently they have no solution for their defense. Ulm have basically the same team like last season, they added a couple of very strong players. They're looking especially impressive at home in Bundesliga where they didn't win with less than 10 points of difference. If you look at their first halves, they only didn't have a convincing lead against Oldenburg at the start of October. Later they had Bremerhaven after the first 20 minutes at +23, Ludwigsburg at +14, Telekom at +9. In Eurocup, Union Olimpia at +4, Hapoel at +16, and they got pulverized by Valencia.
    They beat Hagen in both head-to-heads with over 20 points of difference. Today their quality difference is even bigger. The main reason is that Hagen declared bankruptcy in the middle of the season, they lost four points, they couldn't get additions, they lost all nine games, and this week players started abandoning them. Their main play Williams left first, main center Klassen is struggling with his back and he will probably miss today's match, coach Freyer says they had only eight players at practices...
    For now, they passed in away games better than at home, but considering the most recent changes in the roster, considering Ulm at home and their game style, this is Hagen's toughest test of the season. Ulm are complete, they have 10 players in rotation, they have the best offense in the league, they didn't go under 93 points at home, and Hagen's defense is the worst. I don't believe Hagen will put up a fight for a long time here. Details
  • Basketball 

    Champions League Ludwigsburg - AEK Athena

  • Home team total points (OT incl.) 71.5 tip: Under
    16.11.2016. 20:30
    Result: 72:67
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >71.5
    Published: 16.11. 20:17
    Bookmaker:
     
    AEK's coach, Jure Zdovc, was very angry after the win over PAOK at Saturday, he knew they did not play well, but they won their sixth game in the Greek championship, they won points at an unpleasant away game. They were good defensively, as they mostly are this season. Only Besiktas went over today's margin against them, in the FIBA Champions League the concede 63.3 points on average, they play games at 145 points. Ludwigsburg are also defensively oriented under coach John Patrick, and they play tough games at low number of points against stronger teams. For example, in the Champions League, they lost to Stelmet 70-72, at home to Partizan 64-65, to Brose in pre-season 63-82, at the championship at home 48-60 and in Frankfurt 63-65. These are relevant games for today's game against AEK, we can also add that on Sunday they did not go over 73 points against defensively modest Alba. They will have the most difficult offensive task of the season today against AEK, I doubt Zdovc will give up on his tactics and that the Germans can dictate the pace here. Details
  • Basketball 

    Champions League Neptunas - PAOK

  • Handicap (OT incl.) -10 tip: 2
    16.11.2016. 18:00
    Result: 68:63
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.90
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: +4.5
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >-7.5
    Published: 16.11. 12:00
    Bookmaker:
     
    Neptunas have improved their form significantly lately, they won 10 of the last 11 games in all competitions, six back-to-back, but these low odds on them against PAOK are not justified, in my opinion. Their record in the Lithuanian championship is 6-5, 4-0 in the Champions League, they slipped through at Oldenburg and Usak, they were convincing at home, they defeated Varese by 34. The Italians are a team prone to falling apart, they are going through a rough period. The Lithuanians defeated ASVEL by 14 at home, and PAOK lost to ASVEL by 6, so why then go for the counter-handicap here? Things are not so simple. The Frenchmen went to the away game at Klaipeda at the worst time, when their point guard Meacham was injured, Nelson just arrived and with some other absences, they could not compete against Neptunas.
    PAOK have not left a good impression so far, but they were not significantly outplayed, they lost by double-digits only at Panathinaikos at the start of the season. On Saturday they countered AEK well, the impression was that they could have won, in the Champions League they won at Varese and lost at Radom in overtime, all four of their European games were marked by defenses. I expect a tough game today, in accordance with the set margin of points. PAOK have, with the exception of the game against Lefkadas, shown better performances away then at home, and they are underestimated here, in my opinion. The Greeks may not win, but they are capable of parrying the Lithuanians until the end, Neptunas' home team under is also a good option. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Total points (OT incl.) 162.5 tip: Over
    12.11.2016. 20:30
    Result: 62:78
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >165.5
    Published: 12.11. 11:44
    Bookmaker:
     
    As it's already known, Spirou changed their coach during the summer, and the better part of the player roster made a 180 degree turn when the game style is in question. Before they focused on the defense, now they're practically a run-and-gun team who always play for that extra point. That was already seen in the preparation period, it's been confirmed in the Belgian championship, but also in the FIBA League. In the Belgian league Spirou are on average of 169 points, 165.5 at home. That was mostly affected by the game with low numbers against Oostende, but we know how Oostende plays and that it was the biggest derby of their championship. That's why in the last round they were at 183 with Leuven, at 174 with Antwerp, at 186 with Okapi, 174 with Brussels, 162 with Limburg. In the Champions League they're mostly around or over 170 points.
    Willebroek are a team run b the American colony who are extremely fast, so I think the away team will welcome Spirou's rhythm. So far Willebroek have six games in the championship, and against faster teams they went over today's margin - 170 with Limburg, 167 with Okapi, 179 with Antwerp, and in away games they're on an average of 165 points. In regular time they stayed below the margin against Mons ad Liege, but those teams are defensive-oriented and slow.
    Last season Spirou and Willebroek had two head-to-heads under 160 points, but like I mentioned, last season's Spirou is not the same as today's. Another important data for this pick is that by the end of the pre-season period they beat Willebroek at home with 100-87. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Home team total points (OT incl.) 71.5 tip: Under
    12.11.2016. 19:00
    Result: 71:78
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.80
    Stake: 10/10
    Profit: +8
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >70.5
    Published: 12.11. 18:58
    Bookmaker:
     
    PAOK have had quite a few ups and downs so far in the season but they mostly played less productive games with tougher teams. They beat Aris 66-62 (33-32 at half time), played 59-52 with Usak home (23-25). It was tough with Roso in Champions League as well - 65-65 in regulation time (33-30 at half time). Among the teams that are defense-oriented are Lavrio whom they beat 73-63 (37-38) and maybe ASVEL (31-67, 31-35). The only exception is the Panathinaikos game in the first official meeting of the season in Cup quarterfinals.
    AEK play very tough defense this season. They conceded around 58 points in the Greek championship and hit over 80 vzt realistically, they have not been met with a defense this good. In FIBA League, they trashed almost all opponents, limiting them to under 60 except for Besiktas, who are much better than most Greek teams when it comes to defense, even PAOK.
    PAOK and AEK played 5 games last season and stayed low in 3 of them. Zdovc came to Athens mid-season and has now had the entire summer to get the team organized. AEK are great defense-wise and PAOK mostly got limited to low numbers this season with similar teams. I expect something like that today as well. There are more good options here, the best one is team under at the home team because AEK never hold back. They do not decline in the second half, on the contrary. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Total points (OT incl.) 156.5 tip: Over
    08.11.2016. 20:30
    Result: 77:80
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.93
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: +4.65
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >157.5
    Published: 08.11. 12:12
    Bookmaker:
     
    Castello kept the same coach over the summer and have not changed their game style. They play very fast-paced game with short attacks and it's worth worth going with overs at margins at under 160. Their average this season is just over 161 points and it's not too high mostly because of the teams they played. They mostly played defense-oriented teams like Araberri, Barcelona B, Ourense, Palencia. But they went over taht margin in most of those games. They went at 157 with Palencia on Friday, with Ourense and Araberri at 160. They stayed at 155 only with Barcelona.
    Lleida have no problems accepting the faster pace this season. They changed the roster completely and have a new coach and new game style. They average 154,4 points, mostly because of of lower numbers with extremely defense-oriented teams like Prat, Huesca or Caceres. I don't think those can be compared to the one taking place today. They finished at 16 with Burgos, at 165 with Breogana, at 172 with Oviedo and at 160 with Palencia.
    Lelida and Castello average around 80 points. Those are top offenses in the league, Lleida are best from the three point range and second best in two-point shooting. I have no doubts the home team will set their pace tonight. Lleida will accept it and I don't think this will go under 160 points. Details
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Events started
Handball  Angola - Iceland (19:33)

Handicap +15,5 T: 2

HrviO: 1.88S: 10/10P: -10

 
Handball  Germany - Saudi Arabia (38:24)

1st half handicap -6.5 T: 1

Pedja16O: 1.85S: 10/10P: +8.5

 
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Statistics
The Betprepare tipsters have a two-year experience of giving tips on regional betting website Dvoznak.com (the predecessor of Betprepare.com). You can see their overall stats and individual stats for each tipster here. *The number of complete or partial voids is shown in the brackets next to the number of winning tips
Last 50
Success rate: 32 (2) / 50
Stake / Return: 400 / 462.45 (62.45)
ROI: + 15.6%
Overall
Success rate: 5280 (214) / 9164
Stake / Return: 43831 / 47311.06 (3480.06)
ROI: + 7.9%
By months
Month Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
2017/01 34 23 (1) 61.60 + 21.2
2016/12 46 25 (1) 0.35 + 0.1
2016/11 66 42 (1) 95.95 + 21.3
2016/10 93 63 (1) 111.65 + 22.8
2016/09 87 46 -22.80 -5.2
2016/08 75 51 (1) 91.00 + 23.3
2016/07 74 48 81.34 + 20.5
2016/06 84 47 26.45 + 5.9
2016/05 124 70 (1) 19.00 + 2.8
2016/04 157 84 (4) -32.17 -3.6
2016/03 179 114 (4) 146.35 + 14.2
2016/02 179 103 (3) 128.15 + 13.3
2016/01 199 109 (3) 18.88 + 1.9
2015/12 184 110 (2) 111.71 + 11.8
2015/11 313 171 (4) 46.50 + 3.0
2015/10 314 196 (4) 263.22 + 16.9
2015/09 194 112 (4) 70.23 + 7.5
2015/08 133 75 (2) 31.03 + 4.8
2015/07 210 118 (7) 47.78 + 4.7
2015/06 149 88 (3) 86.40 + 12.3
2015/05 241 115 (8) -150.52 -13.1
2015/04 275 156 (10) 53.57 + 4.0
2015/03 298 171 (10) 83.10 + 5.7
2015/02 313 195 (11) 230.50 + 15.5
2015/01 328 194 (6) 216.65 + 13.8
2014/12 232 128 (1) 40.01 + 3.6
2014/11 330 195 (8) 183.56 + 12.0
2014/10 318 171 (6) 20.89 + 1.4
2014/09 288 157 (9) 26.21 + 2.0
2014/08 201 106 (7) -30.06 -3.4
2014/07 222 118 (3) -8.40 -0.8
2014/06 219 126 (2) 118.05 + 12.2
2014/05 318 177 (6) 92.28 + 6.4
2014/04 301 169 (7) 78.45 + 5.8
2014/03 357 225 (6) 300.96 + 18.6
2014/02 333 177 (7) 18.36 + 1.2
2014/01 331 207 (12) 250.95 + 16.9
2013/12 287 170 (8) 147.95 + 11.4
2013/11 335 197 (13) 118.47 + 7.9
2013/10 445 249 (12) 130.07 + 6.7
2013/09 269 165 (14) 165.71 + 14.6

Tipsters

Tipster Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Pedja16 1098 633 (18) 440.43 + 7.9
Bacos 572 351 (6) 401.30 + 15.1
Marko 515 320 (5) 367.62 + 14.8
Ino 349 210 (2) 265.59 + 13.8
Goran 575 336 (5) 257.78 + 9.2
Kaziyski 466 259 229.52 + 10.8
Doublem 236 150 (13) 154.50 + 13.9
Spužva 250 153 (9) 131.65 + 11.2
Juraj 136 86 127.53 + 17.7
Chacho 77 54 (1) 112.84 + 28.4
Green 136 82 (1) 99.24 + 14.9
Seeker 489 268 (17) 77.17 + 3.4
Toni 197 110 (6) 62.26 + 7.1
Al Pacino 185 102 58.10 + 6.7
Tommy Haas 334 193 (14) 47.45 + 3.0
Hans 103 63 (2) 47.19 + 8.6
Tomo 82 50 (2) 46.07 + 10.2
Chamakh 21 14 21.87 + 21.2
Ivan 119 72 (15) 19.33 + 3.7
Blaf 55 31 (2) 13.88 + 4.9
Damir 111 61 (7) 8.89 + 1.7
Kapetan 55 31 5.55 + 1.7
Lovac 254 133 (9) -1.58 -0.1
Makas 8 4 -7.75 -17.2
Hrvi 23 12 -10.80 -9.2
Matko 65 33 (3) -12.07 -4.2
Neco 29 15 (1) -15.77 -10.5
BlackMamba 5 1 -15.85 -63.4
BoleTop 148 74 (3) -53.95 -7.6
Tipster Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Goran 5 5 37.75 + 83.9
Juraj 5 5 37.75 + 83.9
Seeker 3 3 24.30 + 81.0
Bacos 2 2 13.10 + 87.3
Kaziyski 4 3 6.45 + 21.5
Tomo 3 2 5.70 + 19.0
Green 1 1 3.75 + 75.0
Tommy Haas 1 1 (1) 0.00 0.0
BlackMamba 2 1 -0.85 -8.5
Doublem 1 0 -5.00 -100.0
Pedja16 10 5 (1) -5.05 -6.7
Hrvi 2 1 -5.50 -36.7
Makas 2 1 -5.75 -38.3
Kapetan 3 1 -8.00 -32.0
Marko 7 3 -13.30 -26.6
Ino 2 0 -15.00 -100.0
Inactive tipsters +
Tipster Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Legolas17 410 243 (5) 206.29 + 10.5
Nucky 243 139 (8) 101.41 + 8.7
SmaXy 172 93 (1) 91.30 + 10.6
Medo 189 106 (2) 48.69 + 5.9
Dompa 80 48 (4) 32.62 + 9.8
Smaug 17 11 16.32 + 22.4
Ufo 9 6 7.74 + 22.1
Fantaz 104 57 (3) 2.74 + 0.5
Tompa 2 1 0.55 + 6.1
Davor 20 10 (1) -5.09 -6.6
Marin 3 1 -8.48 -53.0
King 7 2 -10.68 -42.7
Rosca 12 5 (2) -22.63 -39.0
Hitman 12 2 -30.20 -65.7
Iguodala 18 4 (1) -50.62 -58.9

By sport

Sport Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Football Football 1248 684 (68) 143.95 + 2.7
Basketball Basketball 2672 1549 (27) 1156.83 + 8.6
Handball Handball 1884 1135 (29) 1052.30 + 11.1
Ice hockey Ice hockey 452 260 (16) 114.72 + 6.0
Water polo Water polo 74 44 44.60 + 12.0
Volleyball Volleyball 954 532 502.89 + 11.4
Tennis Tennis 1612 914 (65) 350.65 + 4.6
Futsal Futsal 110 67 (2) 49.14 + 8.5
American football American football 123 77 (4) 73.30 + 12.9
Baseball Baseball 6 1 (1) -19.00 -82.6
Sport Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Basketball Basketball 21 11 5.90 + 3.7
Handball Handball 23 16 (1) 38.70 + 20.9
Volleyball Volleyball 4 3 6.45 + 21.5
Tennis Tennis 5 4 (1) 19.30 + 42.9

Top 15 competitions

League Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Basketball: Euroleague Euroleague 277 161 (5) 134.42 + 9.2
Handball: Norway 1 Norway 1 88 58 106.25 + 23.8
Basketball: Spain 1 Spain 1 190 112 97.04 + 9.6
Volleyball: France 1 France 1 91 57 92.30 + 20.9
Handball: Germany 1 Germany 1 153 94 (5) 80.67 + 10.6
Handball: Germany 1 Germany 1 70 46 76.62 + 22.7
Basketball: Greece 1 Greece 1 102 62 (2) 76.35 + 14.3
Handball: Denmark 1 Denmark 1 88 56 (1) 74.15 + 16.1
Basketball: NBA NBA 154 92 (4) 73.78 + 9.9
American football: NFL NFL 123 77 (4) 73.30 + 12.9
Handball: France 1 France 1 109 64 (1) 72.60 + 13.4
Basketball: France 2 France 2 53 36 72.28 + 27.7
Basketball: Germany 1 Germany 1 125 76 (1) 71.63 + 11.8
Basketball: Poland 1 Poland 1 76 49 66.67 + 18.1
Handball: Croatia 1 Croatia 1 24 19 65.28 + 51.4
Handball: Denmark 1 Denmark 1 104 65 (4) 61.59 + 12.8
Basketball: Belgium 1 Belgium 1 58 37 60.32 + 21.5
Handball: Austria 1 Austria 1 36 26 58.77 + 31.4
Handball: Champions League Champions League 115 70 (3) 57.86 + 9.8
Volleyball: Germany 1 Germany 1 24 18 52.01 + 42.6
League Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Handball: WC  Qualification U21 WC Qualification U21 5 5 37.75 + 83.9
Basketball: Fiba Champions League Fiba Champions League 3 3 20.45 + 81.8
Basketball: ABA ABA 2 2 12.95 + 86.3
Volleyball: EC qualification U19 EC qualification U19 2 2 12.45 + 83.0
Handball: Germany 1 Germany 1 1 1 9.50 + 95.0
Tennis: Australian Open Australian Open 1 1 8.40 + 84.0
Basketball: Israel Cup Israel Cup 1 1 8.30 + 83.0
Basketball: France 1 France 1 1 1 8.20 + 82.0
Tennis: Canberra Canberra 1 1 8.00 + 80.0
Tennis: Bangkok 2 Bangkok 2 1 1 7.90 + 79.0
Handball: EC 2020 qualification EC 2020 qualification 1 1 7.00 + 70.0
Handball: Portugal 1 Portugal 1 1 1 4.25 + 85.0
Handball: Denmark 1 Denmark 1 1 1 4.15 + 83.0
Volleyball: France 1 France 1 1 1 4.00 + 80.0
Handball: Norway 1 Norway 1 1 1 3.75 + 75.0
Handball: Denmark Cup Denmark Cup 1 1 3.60 + 72.0
Tennis: Brisbane Brisbane 1 1 (1) 0.00 0.0
Basketball: Greece 1 Greece 1 3 2 -1.30 -6.5
Handball: Friendly Games Friendly Games 2 1 -1.50 -7.5
Basketball: VTB VTB 2 1 -1.70 -8.5

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