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Tips archive
  • Basketball

    Tipster: Marko, Stake: 10/10

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  • Basketball 
  • 1st half handicap -8.5 tip: 1
    25.02.2017. 16:00
    Result: 100:79
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.80
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >-10.5
    Published: 25.02. 12:00
    Bookmaker:
     
    Aris are not doing brilliantly in the Greek championship. They sit in spot 5 with the same number of points as PAOK and Kolossos. Still, winning today would probably see them get in spot 4 since PAOK play AEK away (AEK are 9-0 home) and Kolossos meet Panathinaikos on Monday. Spot 4 is extremely important for Aris, since home court advantage often proves crucial in playoffs, especially since they will probably face city rivals PAOK in the first round.
    Aris lost to PAOK, Olmypiacos and Panathinaikos home this season but they beat all teams of Koroivos' quality easily. Promitheas by 16 (13 at HT), Rethymno by 48 (20), Lavri by 21 (15), Kymis by 13 (16), Kolossos by 24 (16), Trikala by 10 (16).
    Koroivos put up a great fight in the first meeting with Aris but the team from Thessaloniki are much worst away than home. Koroivos are 2-7 away, they beat only bottom table Lefkadas and struggling Promitheas away. When it comes to meetings with more powerful teams away, they were at 14 at HT against Oly, at 20 against Rethymno, at 7 against AEK, at 25 against Panathinaikos and at 14 against AEK in the Cup.
    It's important to note that Koroivos lost starting center Hall over the week. He averaged 13,4 points and 6,7 rebounds and recorded 24 points and added 8 rebounds in the first h2h with Aris. His absence will be visible, Aris' front court seems much better. Last week proved that Koroivos struggle against a team with good center line as Kolossos beat them by 20 away with 44 points from the paint. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Total points (OT incl.) 161.0 tip: Over
    24.02.2017. 21:00
    Result: 86:89
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: +4.15
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >161.5
    Published: 24.02. 11:32
    Bookmaker:
     
    This is a showdown between two teams who are run-and-gun, with short offenses, on average they record 80 points, shots from the floor is over 52, Coruna are, as for three-pointers, the strongest in the second league. Burgos at home have no problems with imposing the run-and-gun style; in 11 home games once they remained at 160, seven times they went over 160. On average at home, they're around 165. They remained under 160 at home against very defensive-oriented teams such as Prat, Ourense and Marin. In the last home game they remained at 163 points against defensively the strongest defense of the league, Gipuzkoa. Coruna are in away games at 6-6 at this margin as for overs, but with those teams comparable to Burgos, on average they were at high numbers: Arberri over 170, Castello at 170, Caceres over 170. The Galician team on are in away games on average of 158 points, in the season at 160, but away games against Melilla, Marin, Ourense or Oviedo are not the ones where we can expect high numbers, and they are teams oriented on defense. Recently Coruna lost the important Pena, but they replaced him with Johnson, nothing will change in their game system.
    In the first head-to-head with Burgos they remained at 159 points in Coruna. Burgos had 73 shots from the floor in that game, Coruna 62. I expect similar numbers today. Burgos in the meantime made some changes, they progressed offensively, at home their defensive numbers are a lot better than in away games, mostly they have no problem imposing the run-and-gun pace, Coruna are a team who will accept that gladly. Details
  • Basketball 
  • 1st half handicap +6.5 tip: 2
    18.02.2017. 20:00
    Result: 78:85
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 10/10
    Profit: -10
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >8.5
    Published: 18.02. 19:58
    Bookmaker:
     
    It's hard to say that any championship game is as unimportant as this one, but the one on Wednesday against Brose and Ludwigsburg was certainly less important than today's which will be played in the semi-finals of the German cup in Berlin. Brose on Wednesday won with +9, they weren't that great, but coach Andrea Trinchieri calculated, and that was obvious. He decided to rest Zisis, Melli and Radosevic, lowered play-time for some standard players, so the best scorer was young Nikolic who probably won't even play today. Trinchieri didn't want to reveal everything before today's match.
    Brose's motivation won't come in question; under Italian's lead they never won the cup, in the last four seasons the trophy has been slipping away. The match against Ludwigsburg can be compared to the one against Bayreuth. In the championship Brose barely beat this season great Bayreuth, only in overtime, but in the quarter-finals when they were fully focused, they beat them in an away game with +23, by the end of the first half it was +25. Tomorrow the cup finals are up, I expect Brose to start out strong today. On Wednesday they were leading against Ludwigsburg with +9 by half-time (41-32), in Ludwigsburg +11 (33-22).
    Ludwigsburg's record in Bundesliga is 9-11; with some comparable teams it was like this: they lost at home to Bayern with -10 (at half-time -10), they lost -3 to Bayreuth (-14 at half-time), -29 to Bayern (-23), -17 at Bayreuth (-2), -17 against Ulm (-14). The only plus is the win against Ulm in the cup quarter-finals, but at the time they were the hosts, and Ulm were quite bad. I'd call it an exception. Ludwigsburg don't do well against strongest German teams, and motivated and complete Brose are one level above. The pre-season game against Brose doesn't have much significance, but considering they played it on neutral grounds in Bayreuth, and today they're playing on neutral grounds again, we should add that Bamberg team won with 82-63, at half-time it was 45-29. Details
  • Basketball 

    Lithuania Cup Zalgiris - Neptunas

  • 1st half handicap -8,5 tip: 1
    15.02.2017. 18:00
    Result: 81:58
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: +4.15
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >-9.5
    Published: 15.02. 17:56
    Bookmaker:
     
    Lithuanian Cup quarter-final couldn't have come in worse time for Neptunas. It is played on a single win, Zalgiris are hosts, and they will also host the Final Four. Neptunas were on a 6 game winning run when the club's financial problems escalated, and in the past month they lost four key players. Center Klimavicius, their best scorer Baron, their best assistant, point guard Drew and Johnson. All of them played in Neptunas' last win over Dzukija in the championship (Johnson and Baron were their best scorers), when they left, their winning run ended immediately. They lost to Juventus by 9 at home on Saturday, they had only 7 players in rotation, and we should expect a similar thing today because they are still looking for some replacements.
    They faced Zalgiris twice this season, they lost by 10 away, but that was in the period when Zalgiris had a difficult fixture schedule in Euroleague and only 48 hours after their game against Baskonia, three days before their clash against Fener. Zalgiris won at Neptunas by 28. I also expect a convincing performance by Zalgiris today. They have recently defeated teams like CSKA and Barcelona at home, and this is a specific game, there is no return fixture, so we should expect the home team to be highly focused, they have no Euroleague games this week, and they are focused on the Cup. Considering the condition at Neptunas, the quality difference is huge, bigger than in the past. In my opinion, the best option is full time handicap because of the short rotation in away team, who will drop as the game progresses, and I doubt they can keep up for long. Details
  • Basketball 
  • 1st half handicap -10.5 tip: 1
    14.02.2017. 20:30
    Result: 86:71
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.76
    Stake: 10/10
    Profit: +7.6
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >-12.5
    Published: 14.02. 12:44
    Bookmaker:
     
    Statistically, there aren't too many arguments for this when it comes to Gottingen. They lost by double digits only to Brose away (-11) and Ulm (-14). Bayern have +10 against Wurzburg, +18 against Alba, +28 against Tubingen, +16 against Bayreuth, +23 against Ludwigsburg and recently +15 against Frankfurt home in Budesliga games at half time. They were down to Ulm at half time, and recorded deficit against Braunschweig, Rasta and Bremerhaven. Still, I think that those stats aren't crucial today. Bayern are currently in brilliant form, the best one so far this season. They have 12 straight wins, and have 11-0 in 2017 only. They trashed Alba in Berlin by 24 and had +15 at half time. They are complete and their defense is great. Also, full focus at Bayern is on Budesliga.

    They beat Gottingen by 31 in the first game of this season (+14 at HT). Last season, they beat them by 41 (1st half +17), +29 away. That kind of dominance isn't an accident. The Bavarians' game style does not suit these opponents, especially now that they are even more aggressive in defense. Also, Gottingen do not have a player who could stand up to Booker, Kleber and others in Bayern's paint.
    Gottingen lost to Oldenburg by 20 home on Saturday. It was -17 after 20 minutes. Their form declined lately, they lost 5 out of last 6, One of main reasons for the defeat to Oldenburg was absence of Ruoff, who won't be there today either (the flu). He averaged 15,5 points, 5,1 assists, 4,6 rebounds and 1,5 steals in 30 minutes. There is no way for his team to make up for him. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Total points (OT incl.) 151.5 tip: Under
    11.02.2017. 20:30
    Result: 83:77
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.90
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >150.5
    Published: 11.02. 13:32
    Bookmaker:
     
    The table itself suggests that this is a very important match for both teams. Ludwigsburg are currently ninth with 8-10 record, they're first below the playoff line, at home they're in a five-league game losing run, it's clear that each next one keeps them further away from the playoffs because the competition are bigger than they were last year. Giessen are first above the line, their record is 10-10, so this match means a lot to them. If they win, they would move further away from Ludwigsburg. Ludwigsburg are defensively one of the strongest teams in the league, on average their games end at 152 points, at home they're under 146. If we take a look at their home games against defensively stronger teams, with Brose they were at 108, Bayern at 140, Bayreuth and Oldenburg they went slightly over today's margin, but those teams have great, if not the best, offense in the league. Recenly they limited Ulm at home to 67 points, they played in the quarter-finals of the cup under 140 points. Giessen are similar to the hosts when it comes to the gamestyle, they have a wide rotation, they play aggressively, they press a lot, so it's no surprise the first head-to-head was at 130 points. Giessen are on average in the league at 153 points, they have more overs than unders on today's margin, mostly due to high numbers in away games. But it's hard to compare Ludwigsburg to Telekom, Alba, Oldenburg or Wurzburg.
    Both teams claim this is an important game, we have two defensively solid teams with average offenses (11th and 15th in Bundesliga), it's hard to expect the game to fall apart. I expect defenses to dominate the game just like in the first head-to-head, the number of points under their average. Details
  • Basketball 

    Champions League Aris - Strasbourg

  • Total points (OT incl.) 142,5 tip: Under
    07.02.2017. 18:30
    Result: 71:52
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.91
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: +4.55
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >141.5
    Published: 07.02. 11:44
    Bookmaker:
     
    The set margin is not missed if we take into consideration the fact that Aris are, in the FIBA League, at an average of 145,8 points, at around 141 at home, and Strasbourg at 143 overall and 149 away, but we should consider some other elements as well. This is the first of two games in the first round of play-off, the results are summarized which means there is no danger of overtime here, and there is no need to talk further about the importance of the game. In the Champions League Group A, Aris' results against teams that are defensively close to Strasbourg's quality are as follows: at 122 against Frankfurt, 127 against Monaco, they went over 160 against Banvit, but Banvit are not a defense oriented team, in the Greek championship they were under 130 against PAOK, at 133 against Olympiacos, and at 130 against Panathinaikos (away at PAOK at 120, AEK 142, Monaco 146, Frankfurt 155 with 50 in the last quarter). Aris have not scored over 63 points in any of the mentioned home games, the only exception is the game against AEK in the Cup. Aris won 77-76, but it is known that they are much better at home than away.
    Strasbourg had a bad start of the season, but the return of coach Collet changed a lot of things, especially in defense that allows around 68 points in the Champions League. Under Collet they played away as follows: at Canarias 60-60 in regulation time, won at Oostende 66-65, and under Dettman played under today's margin at Avellino. At home they were under 120 against the Italians, at 138 against Oostende, 147 against Canarias when they scored 53 points in the final quarter. In the French championship, they are usually at low numbers against stronger teams (like Monaco), they are athletically and physically a team for which Aris' coach says they struggle in offense against, I expect a similar thing today, a lot of struggle for both offenses, who are nothing special at the European level, but defensive stats are good in both teams. Details
  • Basketball 
  • 1st half handicap -12.5 tip: 1
    04.02.2017. 16:00
    Result: 71:65
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.80
    Stake: 10/10
    Profit: -10
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >-13.5
    Published: 04.02. 15:48
    Bookmaker:
     
    I don't want to hear excuses about tough rhythm and that we weren't complete. Our game was embarrassing and unacceptable.
    AEK's coach Zdovc said that after they barely beat Lavri last week. Lavrni are not in bad form but they were still expected to do better. The team from Athens had a 6-point lead by half time and later did much better. Sakota didn't play as much as he normally does but he will today. Vasileiadis is back, Milosevic and Mavroeidis are questionable but McGrath recently joined the team. They have enough players and shoulnd't have problems with that. AEK are expected to react, especially since they normally do better home. They lost only to Besiktas and have 7-0 in the championship. They lost only to Besiktas, they had a 17-point difference against Apollon, a 10-point against Aris, a 20-point against Lefkadas, an 11-point by Rethymno, a 25-point by Lavri. They didn't have a double-digit difference against Koroivos (had a lead of 14 in the Cup against them) and Promitheas but their schedule was better than today. AEK now had a week to prepare for this since they had a break in CL.
    Kymis' coach says that he doesn't know what is happening to them the last few weeks. They are on a 4-game losing run and 0-7 away. They have not found a replacement for the important center Morgan. The rather important guard Kostov is injured. Last weekend against Koroivos, they were down by 25 away. Before that, they were down by 24 against Koroivos, by 16 against Aris, by 12 to Kolossos, by 27 to Panathinaikos and by 7 to Lavri. They had a lead only against bottom table Lefkadas and even managed to lose that in the end. They were at -36 at half time in the Cup. Home against AEK in the first head to head they had -32 at half time. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Total points (OT incl.) 152.5 tip: Under
    03.02.2017. 20:30
    Result: 80:61
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 10/10
    Profit: +8.3
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >152.5
    Published: 03.02. 20:25
    Bookmaker:
     
    Spirou have been far from consistent this season, especially at the start, but they got more consistent later on, and started following the coach Fulvio Bastianini's instructions. He even quit at one point because the players lacked approach and eagerness. Now they're defense oriented. Their average in the Belgian championship is 163.2 points, a bit under 159 at home, but most Belgian teams play very fast basketball, so those matches cannot really be compared to the one against Mons, their regional rival. Looking at Spirou's home matches that are relevant for this one, there's the one against Oostende whom they beat 74-69, and maybe the one against Brussels that ended at 154 points. They stayed under this margin against the super fast Limburg (154), and Willebroek (140) (144 on the road against Oostende when they fell apart, and Spirou were 17 points down in the first half).
    Mons are the most defensively oriented team in the league. They sometimes get to the high numbers against run and gun teams like Limburg, Okapi and Willebroek, but that only happened four times in 17 league matches. Mons average under 149 points, and under 148 in the last ten rounds. They played Oostende four times this season, 145 and 130 points in the championship, and 134 and 133 against Brussels. They stayed under this margin in two cup quarterfinal matches against Oostende, when Mons couldn't match them the right way, but it's hard to expect them to fall apart against Spirou tonight.
    The first duel between these two ended at 134 points, in their last ten championship and cup duels, they went over this margin only once. In those championship matches they played this season that are relevant, Spirou went over only against Brussels. It should be noted, though, that Spirou played much faster at the beginning of the season, and they were weaker defensively compared to now. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Home team total points (OT incl.) 73.5 tip: Under
    01.02.2017. 19:00
    Result: 65:105
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: +4.15
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >72.5
    Published: 01.02. 18:52
    Bookmaker:
     
    Stelmet are not at last season's level but they are still the best Polish team. Playing in CL shifted their focus from the championship but they have been making up for it lately. They can focus on the championship this week entirely. They trashed the home team by 27 int he second round and limited them to 67 points. I expect Targnobrzeg under 70 again. Stelmet allow around 71 on average, have the top defense in the league and have allowed 70 away to the best offense Turow and Dabrowa, who do well home. Against teams comparable to Tarnobrzeg, they have 63 against Stelmet, 68 Slupsk, 64 Polpharma, 69 Trefl. Only Lublin is actually comparable to the home team but the other teams can be compared when it comes to game style.

    Targnobrez hit 72 on average, have one of the worst offensive ends in the league. Their home average is 70,5. They hit 51 against Turow, 73 Torun, 76 Slupsk, 75 Anwil but those teams cannot compare to Stelmet defense wise. With those more defense-oriented, they hit 60 (Stal), 69 Koszalin. Extra problem today is the absence of important players Brown. He averages 14,9 points and 5.6 assists and spends over 33 minutes on the floor (17 points and 7 assists against Stelmet). Home team half time under is a good option as well. Details
  • Basketball 

    FIBA Europe Cup Buyukcekmece - Prievidza

  • Handicap (OT incl.) -21 tip: 1
    18.01.2017. 17:00
    Result: 111:77
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 10/10
    Profit: +8.3
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >-23.5
    Published: 18.01. 12:28
    Bookmaker:
     
    Only 8 teams will reach Round of 16 and 8 will join from Champions League. That means only the top spot guarantees the next round in Europe Cup. Two best runner ups will go through as well. Demir are 3-1, their h2h record with Antwerp is worse and if the Belgians win the two of their remaining games, the Turks will not be able to reach the top spot. Antwerp are set to play teams which do not stand a chance of reaching the next round. Demir need to focus on trying to advance through the runner-up spot and they are currently only the third best team in that spot (+23 goal difference). They will try and get that difference higher today. If Antwerp lose to Gravelines, everything changes and the Turks can reach the top spot. But their game starts three hours before Antwerp's game.

    Demir win by an average of 23,5 points in this competitions. They haven't been doing well away all season long. They beat Antwerp home by 14, lost by over 20 away to them. They won all 4 European home games, Enisej by 16, Antwerp by 14, Rilski by 22 and Sigal by 42. They recorded 5 out of 6 wins home in the Turkish league. They didn't play last weekend (All-Star weekend) so they had a week to rest and prepare.

    Prievidza opened with second Europe Cup stage with a surprising win away over Gravelines but they are clearly in decline. They lost to Bnei by 24, to Lukoil by 15, to Steaua by 11 and Antwerp by 17. They lost to Demir 75-101 home. In the Slovakian championship, the last time they played was on Monday when they lost to Rieker by 79-87. This is their third meeting in five days and have already recorded 5 defeats in the domestic championship.

    The home team have a much greater quality. Demir beat Prievidza away by 26 points and I think it would be very surprising if they didn't win by at least as many points today. They want as big a point difference as possible. Getting that point difference will be tougher against Gravelines next week. They beat them in overtime in France. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Handicap (OT incl.) -13.5 tip: 1
    14.01.2017. 20:00
    Result: 84:78
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.88
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >-14.5
    Published: 14.01. 12:48
    Bookmaker:
     
    Caceres went to this away game without their main play Marco, and the important center Riauka didn't practice the whole week due to back problems and he almost certainly won't play today. Since a few days ago they ended their contract with Nathanaelsson, and they haven't found a replacement, they will have a very thin frontcourt, and Breogan are the strongest in the the paint where players such as Gilling, Stainbrook and Fakuade are great lately. Bereogan are complete and they're in swing again which they've lost for a short time in December. They tied three wings, they beat last weekend the might Burgos who were on an eight-game winning run in an away game with +9, before that the strong Ourense at home with +13. At home they rarely lose, their record is 8-2. They lost to Huesca at the start of the season when they had problems with absences, and recently to Arberri who have been very good in the past month.
    Caceres recorded five wins in the last seven rounds. They fell with -15 against Palencia, -22 against Burgos, -24 against Ourense. In away games their record is 1-7. They were beaten by teams such as weak Marin. They only beat Arberri, which is the exception confirming the rule.
    In the first head-to-head this season Breogan won in Caceres with 63 points of difference. Today we shouldn't expect something like that, but the circumstances are such that I expect Breogan's convincing win. They're in good shape and complete, in the hunt for the first place, they're strong at home. Caceres have been limited to 6-7 players who will have full playtime. They aren't convincing in away games, and lately they lost to teams the quality of Breogan. Breogan are the owners of the strongest offense of the second league, they're fast, so it's no wonder they don't suit Caceres. Details
  • Basketball 

    Champions League AEK Athena - Ludwigsburg

  • Handicap (OT incl.) -5.5 tip: 1
    10.01.2017. 20:00
    Result: 82:72
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.82
    Stake: 10/10
    Profit: +8
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >-7.5
    Published: 10.01. 11:20
    Bookmaker:
     
    AEK's coach, Jure Zdovc, says ahead of every Champions League game that they are going for the win, that it's their most important game. Today's game against Ludwigsburg is really their most important game. AEK are at 6-5 record, they compromised their situation with bad away performances, and if they lose today, they cannot count on the second position and direct advancement, their situation would complicate even more, and their advancement would come into question. AEK showed this season that they are home court oriented, it's not easy for anyone to play at their arena, so of the 11 official games, they lost only one, to the leaders of the group, Besiktas, who obviously don't suit them. AEK lost at Ludwigsburg in a tight finish, I expect the Greeks to be much more determined today. On Saturday, at home, they defeated Aris, who have been in great form, by 20 points, and in the Champions League they recently defeated Spirou by 20, Partizan by 10, Sassari by 20, and they concede less than 70 points on average at home. The great news is that they are complete, Vasileiadis is back, Mavroeidis is fully fit, and new center Elonu is clearly a real reinforcement.
    Ludwigsburg have been good in the Champions League, they secured their advancement, they are still fighting for the second position, but they are not as convincing away as they are at home. In the Champions League they lost at Stelmet and Partizan, won at Sassari. This entire season, if we look at difficult away games, they did not fare well. They lost by 17 at Ulm and Bayreuth, and by 29 at Bayern, plus these two Champions League defeats.
    Considering AEK's defensive performances at home, a solid option here is a team under on the Germans, but even better option is the Greek's win in handicap because they will not only go for the win, they will want to win by over five to have a better head-to-head record against Ludwigsburg and that way stay in the battle for the second position in the group. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Total points (OT incl.) 143.5 tip: Under
    07.01.2017. 16:00
    Result: 79:65
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.93
    Stake: 10/10
    Profit: -10
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >142.5
    Published: 07.01. 11:00
    Bookmaker:
     
    Lavriou say that today's match is very important, key. They're hosting Apollon, a team who are very close to them on the table, so it's normal they're having high expectations, and the similar thing is with Patras club. If we take a look at Lavriou's games so far against teams similar to Apollon, we can again expect a firm and defensively-oriented game. With Kolossos, today's hosts ended at 132 points, against faster Kymis at 144, against Trikala in a crushing at 142, away against fast Koroivos at 146 in regular time, against Lefkadas at 127, against Promitheas at 125, those are comparable clubs. Against AEK, Panathinaikos, Olympiacos and Aris they all convincingly lost, so I wouldn't compare those matches to today's. In total, they have a record of 8-4 favoring unders on the set margin.
    Apollon also has a record of 8-4 in the favor of unders, they ended like this against comparable clubs: Kymis at home at 135, Kolossos away at 130, Lefkadas at home at 139, Promitheas at home at 120, Trikala away at 125. They went over today's margin against run-and-gun Koroivos, very fast Rethymno and against PAOK and Panathinaikos, but the matches against the strongest of Greece's teams aren't that important for today's match.
    Lavrio recently played a match against second league Ethinoks, they won with 69-67, and once more they showed their typical game. Today I don't expect attractive basketball, more a fight for every point. We have two offensively limited teams on averages of under 69 points, it's hard to think anyone will get crushed here, I expect an equal fight on low numbers, under 140 points. Lavrio are on average at home at 140 points, Apollon away at 143, however, if you only take a look at matches with teams of similar quality, then those averages are well under 140. Details
  • Basketball 
  • 1st half handicap -11.5 tip: 1
    30.12.2016. 20:30
    Result: 89:74
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >-13
    Published: 30.12. 15:40
    Bookmaker:
     
    I have no big statistical support when it comes to Braunschweig, they rarely lose convincingly, they obviously rose in shape, they're not at the level they were at the start when they looked like they stumbled into the first league by mistake. Again, for me it's all about how will Bayern start the game, and for a couple of reasons I believe they'll start off right from the start. The club's manager Marko Pesic doesn't often give statements, but after the defeat by Ulm, it's clear they have to be fully focused, play with the right approach and that they have to take Brauncshweig seriously. This defeat by Ulm obviously struck the Bavarians, and this season shows that after defeats their reactions in the following game were great. They lost to Zenit, and then they crushed Alba with around 40 points of difference (it was +18 at half-time), after the defeat by Brose they crushed Buducnost in an away game (+14 at half-time), after the defeat by Telekom they beat Frankfurt in the championship with +20 (+7 at half-time) away, then Ludwigsburg at home +29 (+23), and at Jena +44 (+29). Only after the second defeat by Zenit they weren't that convincing against Rasta, that was the part of the season in which the emphasis was at Eurocup and in securing the pass into the Top 16.
    Brauncshweig lost with only -12 against Ulm. At the time, Ulm were weakened and they obviously underestimated their opponents, and I don't believe that will happen to the Bavarians who at home convincingly outplayed one Bayeruth (+16 at half-time). A lot depends on the circumstances when it comes to Bayern, they say they'll take Brauncshweig seriously, even though they rarely allow themselves two weaker home games. Quality-wise, they're above Braunschweig who raised their shape, but they're still candidates for the relegation battle, a team with short rotation. Details
  • Basketball 

    Greece 1 Aris - Lavriou

  • 1st half handicap -8.5 tip: 1
    26.12.2016. 16:00
    Result: 98:77
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.80
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: +4
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >-10
    Published: 26.12. 15:52
    Bookmaker:
     
    Aris had a pretty slow start to the season, mostly due to all the injury struggles. They lost Sanikidze right away, Kavvadas and Buckner got injured soon after and then important players like Jenkins and Jankovic. Their form is much better now, the subs for those injured players fit in well on the team and things are overall much better. They are on a 6-game winning run looking at the Greek championship. They are on a 6-game winning run overall. They had a +17 lead after 20 minutes over Lefkadas, +16 over Kolossos home, +16 over Kyrmis home and last round +22 over Apollon away. They had a 13-point lead over Ironi on Tuesday on Tuesday.
    Lavrio are 3-8. They beat Lefkadas by 1 away but against better teams, they have not done too well away. They lost to AEK by 40 (-25 at half time). They were at -7 against Rehtymno, at -14 against Promitheas, -10 even against feeble Koroivos. Aris' defense is among the best ones in the league. Lavrio are quite modest offense wise and I expect the visitors to struggle quite a lot on the offensive end. Aris are 7-4 which is not what they expected so far. They are, however, making a progress. The form now and at the start of the season cannot be compared. The team from Thessaloniki have opened the last few rounds brilliantly and I expect something similar today. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Home team total points (OT incl.) 74.5 tip: Under
    26.12.2016. 15:30
    Result: 88:92
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 10/10
    Profit: -10
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >72.5
    Published: 26.12. 15:22
    Bookmaker:
     
    The meeting between Bayreuth and Brose this season is not just a local Oberfranken derby match. It's a derby at league level as these teams are in spot 4 and 2 in the table. Bayreuth are 6-1 home, they play a great offense but also a very good defense. They have 7 unders and 7 overs at this margin and have gone over this margin only against Ulm and Alba, that is, against very fast teams with top defenses in the league. Brose are a completely different kind of a team, they have 10 unders and 5 overs and are under 150 on average away. No one in Bundesliga has such a powerful defense (thy allow 66 on average) and I don't think Bayreuth will be at their usual offensive numbers today.
    This is a local derby match in which tensions are high, the games in Bayreuth are tough. Since Trinchieri took over at Brose, they won 85-53 and 69-50 in Bayreuth. They met once this season, at end of preseason when Brose won 84-53 in Bayreith. The visitors are the favorites again but Bayreuth have improved form in the meantime. The 12-2 record says it all and I don't expect them to fall apart like in preseason. Brose got limited to under 150 with run-and-gun teams Ulm and Telekom. And interestingly, this is a meeting between teams with the least possessions in Bundesliga. That means they won't rush into anything. Details
  • Basketball 
  • Home team total points (OT incl.) 84 tip: Over
    17.12.2016. 16:00
    Result: 101:70
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.94
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: +4.7
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >84.5
    Published: 17.12. 11:44
    Bookmaker:
     
    The Greek league is known an extremely defensive one. However, there are exceptions, teams who don't care about defense. Koroivos are practically like that. They have the worst defense of the league, on average they allow 84.4 points, and in away games 92. The way their style is was best shown in the last game when one very slow Trikala, who are also owners of the worst offense of the league, recorded over 70 shots from the floor, and mostly due to around 20 turnovers by Koroivos. So far, today's away team recorded 93 points against Kymis, they lost with -23; with Panathnaikos 96 (-31), against defensively oriented Kolossos 90 (-2), against offensively limited Apollon 92 (-26), and in the last away game against AEK 89 (-14). Rethymno on average record around 74 points, however at home they're on average of 82.5 which is no wonder because they're very home oriented. At home they're on a record of 4-0. In the last home game they recorded 89 points in regular time against Promitheas, 84 against defensive Trikala, 88 against an even more defensive Lavri. The only difference is the match against Aris, but it's known how Aris play and the fact that Rethymno remained below 70 in that match is not important for this pick. What's more important is that Koroivos are very fast, they're defensively weak, especially in away games, and it's known that Rethymno don't mind the fast pace, that they're best in the rebound in the Greek championship, and their opponents's style will enable them a large number of points from transition. I don't see a match in the championship in which Rethymno's offense could be more prominent than today, and that's why my choice here is the hosts' team over, even though other good options are handicap of the entire game and handicap of the first half. Details
  • Basketball 

    Champions League Usak Sportif - PAOK

  • Home team total points (OT incl.) 76.5 tip: Under
    14.12.2016. 18:00
    Result: 78:77
    Tipster Marko
    Odds: 1.83
    Stake: 5/10
    Profit: -5
    Min. odds: 1.70
    Last margin: >74.5
    Published: 14.12. 17:48
    Bookmaker:
     
    Usak had a turbulent season so far, and that means bad results. They only have 2-6 score in the FIBA Champions League, and they were crushed by Neptunas last week, falling apart in the second period already. They lost to ASVEL convincingly the round before that, and their only convincing win was against the stumbling Varese at home when they also fell apart in the second period. So, those two games marked with second periods pumped up their statistics (scored 88 and 87 points). Neither of the rest went over 74 in the regular time, and that was their score against Ventspils at home. They also hit 65 against Neptunas at home, and 60 to Oldenburg.
    PAOK didn't have a great season so far either, but they have been consistent defensively in the Champions League. They are one of the best teams in that regard because they only allow about 66 points, not counting the overtimes. They allowed 65 against Rose away, 70 against Varese, 68 against Neptunas and 67 against Oldenburg. They didn't allow over 71 in any of the home games in regular time. They left Usaka at 52 at home (PAOK won the home one 91-68 in the preseason).
    It should be pointed out that Usak fired two important players recently - the point guard Lyons whose average was 14.8 points and 6.9 assists in the CL, and the center Monroe (13.4 points with 8 rebounds). True, they've got Harrison and Auguste in their roster, who weren't playing their first duel against PAOK, but McKissic is not ready by any stretch, and losing their main point guard and a decent center, paired with their unconvincing form are definitely not the best start for the duel against the tough Greeks. I doubt Usak will push their rhythm here, I don't see PAOK as an outsider, and if the guests don't win, they will give a very hard time to the hosts' offense, like they did to the teams even better than Usak. Details
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Events started
Volleyball  Eisenerz Trofaiach - Graz

Set handicap +2,5 T: 1

BacosO: 3.00S: 2/10P: ?

 
Volleyball  Eisenerz Trofaiach - Graz

Total points 131,5 T: Over

BacosO: 1.85S: 5/10P: ?

 
Basketball  Aris - Koroivos (100:79)

1st half handicap -8.5 T: 1

MarkoO: 1.80S: 5/10P: -5

 
Basketball  Burgos - Leyma Coruna (86:89)

Total points (OT incl.) 161.0 T: Over

MarkoO: 1.83S: 5/10P: +4.15

 
Football  Parndorf - Langenrohr (1:1)

Total goals 3.5 T: Over

BlafO: 1.78S: 5/10P: -5

 
nedovrseni
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Statistics
The Betprepare tipsters have a two-year experience of giving tips on regional betting website Dvoznak.com (the predecessor of Betprepare.com). You can see their overall stats and individual stats for each tipster here. *The number of complete or partial voids is shown in the brackets next to the number of winning tips
Last 50
Success rate: 29 (1) / 50
Stake / Return: 325 / 331.25 (6.25)
ROI: + 1.9%
Overall
Success rate: 5314 (215) / 9222
Stake / Return: 44206 / 47697.46 (3491.46)
ROI: + 7.9%
By months
Month Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
2017/02 42 25 (1) 10.45 + 3.8
2017/01 50 32 (1) 62.55 + 16.0
2016/12 46 25 (1) 0.35 + 0.1
2016/11 66 42 (1) 95.95 + 21.3
2016/10 93 63 (1) 111.65 + 22.8
2016/09 87 46 -22.80 -5.2
2016/08 75 51 (1) 91.00 + 23.3
2016/07 74 48 81.34 + 20.5
2016/06 84 47 26.45 + 5.9
2016/05 124 70 (1) 19.00 + 2.8
2016/04 157 84 (4) -32.17 -3.6
2016/03 179 114 (4) 146.35 + 14.2
2016/02 179 103 (3) 128.15 + 13.3
2016/01 199 109 (3) 18.88 + 1.9
2015/12 184 110 (2) 111.71 + 11.8
2015/11 313 171 (4) 46.50 + 3.0
2015/10 314 196 (4) 263.22 + 16.9
2015/09 194 112 (4) 70.23 + 7.5
2015/08 133 75 (2) 31.03 + 4.8
2015/07 210 118 (7) 47.78 + 4.7
2015/06 149 88 (3) 86.40 + 12.3
2015/05 241 115 (8) -150.52 -13.1
2015/04 275 156 (10) 53.57 + 4.0
2015/03 298 171 (10) 83.10 + 5.7
2015/02 313 195 (11) 230.50 + 15.5
2015/01 328 194 (6) 216.65 + 13.8
2014/12 232 128 (1) 40.01 + 3.6
2014/11 330 195 (8) 183.56 + 12.0
2014/10 318 171 (6) 20.89 + 1.4
2014/09 288 157 (9) 26.21 + 2.0
2014/08 201 106 (7) -30.06 -3.4
2014/07 222 118 (3) -8.40 -0.8
2014/06 219 126 (2) 118.05 + 12.2
2014/05 318 177 (6) 92.28 + 6.4
2014/04 301 169 (7) 78.45 + 5.8
2014/03 357 225 (6) 300.96 + 18.6
2014/02 333 177 (7) 18.36 + 1.2
2014/01 331 207 (12) 250.95 + 16.9
2013/12 287 170 (8) 147.95 + 11.4
2013/11 335 197 (13) 118.47 + 7.9
2013/10 445 249 (12) 130.07 + 6.7
2013/09 269 165 (14) 165.71 + 14.6

Tipsters

Tipster Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Bacos 576 355 (6) 417.10 + 15.6
Pedja16 1106 635 (18) 412.58 + 7.3
Marko 526 327 (5) 378.82 + 14.8
Goran 581 341 (5) 277.13 + 9.7
Ino 352 211 (2) 260.34 + 13.4
Kaziyski 469 262 240.32 + 11.2
Doublem 237 150 (13) 149.50 + 13.4
Spužva 250 153 (9) 131.65 + 11.2
Green 140 86 (1) 124.24 + 17.8
Chacho 77 54 (1) 112.84 + 28.4
Juraj 140 87 107.13 + 14.3
Toni 197 110 (6) 62.26 + 7.1
Al Pacino 186 103 (1) 58.10 + 6.6
Seeker 491 268 (17) 57.17 + 2.5
Tommy Haas 335 194 (14) 51.95 + 3.3
Tomo 83 51 (2) 49.82 + 10.9
Hans 103 63 (2) 47.19 + 8.6
Chamakh 21 14 21.87 + 21.2
Ivan 119 72 (15) 19.33 + 3.7
Kapetan 58 33 12.95 + 3.7
Damir 111 61 (7) 8.89 + 1.7
Blaf 58 32 (2) 7.98 + 2.7
Lovac 254 133 (9) -1.58 -0.1
Makas 10 5 -4.75 -7.9
Matko 65 33 (3) -12.07 -4.2
Neco 29 15 (1) -15.77 -10.5
Hrvi 24 12 -15.80 -12.8
BlackMamba 5 1 -15.85 -63.4
BoleTop 148 74 (3) -53.95 -7.6
Tipster Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Green 3 3 17.00 + 85.0
Bacos 4 4 15.80 + 79.0
Goran 5 4 15.35 + 51.2
Makas 1 1 8.00 + 80.0
Kapetan 3 2 7.40 + 37.0
Kaziyski 2 2 7.20 + 72.0
Tomo 1 1 3.75 + 75.0
Marko 10 6 2.90 + 4.1
Al Pacino 1 1 (1) 0.00 0.0
Doublem 1 0 -5.00 -100.0
Blaf 3 1 -5.90 -39.3
Ino 2 0 -10.00 -100.0
Seeker 1 0 -10.00 -100.0
Pedja16 7 2 -17.85 -39.7
Juraj 4 1 -20.40 -68.0
Inactive tipsters +
Tipster Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Legolas17 410 243 (5) 206.29 + 10.5
Nucky 243 139 (8) 101.41 + 8.7
SmaXy 172 93 (1) 91.30 + 10.6
Medo 189 106 (2) 48.69 + 5.9
Dompa 80 48 (4) 32.62 + 9.8
Smaug 17 11 16.32 + 22.4
Ufo 9 6 7.74 + 22.1
Fantaz 104 57 (3) 2.74 + 0.5
Tompa 2 1 0.55 + 6.1
Davor 20 10 (1) -5.09 -6.6
Marin 3 1 -8.48 -53.0
King 7 2 -10.68 -42.7
Rosca 12 5 (2) -22.63 -39.0
Hitman 12 2 -30.20 -65.7
Iguodala 18 4 (1) -50.62 -58.9

By sport

Sport Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Football Football 1251 685 (68) 138.05 + 2.6
Basketball Basketball 2696 1559 (27) 1111.53 + 8.2
Handball Handball 1905 1151 (29) 1117.45 + 11.6
Ice hockey Ice hockey 452 260 (16) 114.72 + 6.0
Water polo Water polo 74 44 44.60 + 12.0
Volleyball Volleyball 960 538 (1) 520.84 + 11.8
Tennis Tennis 1616 915 (65) 330.15 + 4.3
Futsal Futsal 110 67 (2) 49.14 + 8.5
American football American football 123 77 (4) 73.30 + 12.9
Baseball Baseball 6 1 (1) -19.00 -82.6
Sport Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Football Football 3 1 -5.90 -39.3
Basketball Basketball 21 8 -48.35 -34.5
Handball Handball 17 14 63.15 + 57.4
Volleyball Volleyball 5 5 (1) 14.35 + 57.4
Tennis Tennis 2 0 -15.00 -100.0

Top 15 competitions

League Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Basketball: Euroleague Euroleague 279 161 (5) 119.42 + 8.1
Handball: Norway 1 Norway 1 90 60 118.75 + 25.7
Volleyball: France 1 France 1 91 57 92.30 + 20.9
Basketball: Spain 1 Spain 1 191 112 92.04 + 9.0
Handball: Denmark 1 Denmark 1 89 57 (1) 82.15 + 17.4
Handball: Germany 1 Germany 1 153 94 (5) 80.67 + 10.6
Handball: Germany 1 Germany 1 70 46 76.62 + 22.7
Basketball: Germany 1 Germany 1 127 77 (1) 74.23 + 11.9
Basketball: NBA NBA 154 92 (4) 73.78 + 9.9
American football: NFL NFL 123 77 (4) 73.30 + 12.9
Handball: France 1 France 1 109 64 (1) 72.60 + 13.4
Basketball: France 2 France 2 53 36 72.28 + 27.7
Basketball: Poland 1 Poland 1 77 50 70.82 + 18.9
Basketball: Belgium 1 Belgium 1 59 38 68.62 + 23.7
Handball: Croatia 1 Croatia 1 24 19 65.28 + 51.4
Handball: Champions League Champions League 116 71 (3) 61.61 + 10.3
Handball: Denmark 1 Denmark 1 104 65 (4) 61.59 + 12.8
Basketball: Greece 1 Greece 1 104 62 (2) 61.35 + 11.2
Handball: Austria 1 Austria 1 37 26 53.77 + 28.0
Volleyball: Germany 1 Germany 1 24 18 52.01 + 42.6
League Tips Succ. Profit ROI%
Handball: Norway 1 Norway 1 2 2 12.50 + 83.3
Handball: Champions League Champions League 2 2 8.65 + 86.5
Handball: Romania 1 Romania 1 1 1 8.50 + 85.0
Handball: Sweden 1 Sweden 1 1 1 8.50 + 85.0
Basketball: Belgium 1 Belgium 1 1 1 8.30 + 83.0
Handball: Portugal 1 Portugal 1 1 1 8.00 + 80.0
Handball: Denmark 1 Denmark 1 1 1 8.00 + 80.0
Basketball: FIBA Europe Cup FIBA Europe Cup 1 1 4.60 + 92.0
Basketball: Fiba Champions League Fiba Champions League 1 1 4.55 + 91.0
Handball: Hungary 1 Hungary 1 1 1 4.50 + 90.0
Handball: Norway 1 Norway 1 1 1 4.50 + 90.0
Basketball: Turkey 1 Turkey 1 1 1 4.15 + 83.0
Basketball: Spain 2 Spain 2 1 1 4.15 + 83.0
Basketball: Poland 1 Poland 1 1 1 4.15 + 83.0
Volleyball: Romania 1 Romania 1 1 1 4.15 + 83.0
Basketball: Lithuania Cup Lithuania Cup 1 1 4.15 + 83.0
Football: Romania 1 Romania 1 1 1 4.10 + 82.0
Volleyball: Finland 1 Finland 1 1 1 4.00 + 80.0
Handball: Croatia Cup Croatia Cup 1 1 3.75 + 75.0
Handball: Champions League Champions League 1 1 3.75 + 75.0

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