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The defeats both teams recorded in their respective opening games make this one very important. Estoril are the favorite, but I beg to differ. They are doing quite badly at the moment, having won only 5 points in 6 championship games. It will be almost impossible for them to end the season as successfully as the did last year.
Panathianikos are doing as expected and I think they're currently much better than the opponent. Plus, they can do their absolute best today because the next championship round in Greece is postponed. I woudl go with +0 normally, but I'm going to go with +0.25 today because Panathianos have to do without Berg today, which will affect their efficiency. Another reason to go with this bet is Estoril's coach who said that championship is their number one priority. Estoril didn't win a single group stage games last year (0-3-3). Details

If they want to reach victory today, Rijeka have to play an aggressive game. I don't see a game in which they will play around and stop the Spaniards with ease without too many fouls. On the other hand, I don't think Sevilla players will let them dance around too much. If we look at Rijeka's European matches, the number of yellow cards is as follows: Standard - 8, Sheriff - 3 (a match with no significance considering the great score advantage Rijeka had), Sheriff - 6 (first match). Against Vikingur they've stopped at two and three, but that can hardly be any kind of reference considering the huge difference in the quality and the score. Against Ferencvaros there were five of them, and 11 in the following match. Sevilla is actually even "better": their scores of yellow cards in official matches are as follows: 7, 8, 8, 4, 8, 6 + a red one, and 4. Sevilla were often the ones who had the greater number. There are a couple of extremely harsh and aggressive players who don't hesitate to commit a foul, and often they are forced to it considering the offensive profile of Sevilla's team and a lot of space they leave behind their backs. The referee is Dane Hansens who this season had the following number of cards: 4, 4, 3, 5, 6, and 6. The bet is largely available with the 4.5 margin in home betting houses. In this case I recommend one "unit" less. Details

I think this margin is off by at least a few points, given these teams' performances in the championship so far. Siauliai went over this margin twice in the first three official games - 132 against Ventspils in BBL Cup, and 180 against Prienai in the championship. Their meeting with Tartu Rock (121 point) was the only under this season. 174 points were scored in Neptunas' match with Mazeikiai, and 191 agaisnt Nevezis. The offense is clearly doing brilliantly and there's no reason for anything but another brilliant performance today. When offense at Neptunas is good, the defense is not at its best level. Especially if they take the lead early on, like they did against Nevezis. Their head-to-head games are another reason for choosing this bet. They met 7 times last season - two times in the Cup (171 and 121p), two times in the championship (160 and 169 p), and three times in the championship play off (161, 161, 177). They've done one game in the preseason, 161 points were scored. Two of their 2012/13 head-to-head games were overs (174 and 163 p). 9 out of their last 10 games were overs, and this one should be yet another one... Details

The fact Korea reached final undefeated deserves respect, but Qatar are something completely different and I don't see a way for Korea to mess with their plans today. Qatar concede just over 18 goals per game. Korea's offense isn't brilliant and Qatar are definitely capable of limiting them to around 20 goals. Qatar normally do 10-15 at a very high level to take the lead and settle the game. Korea did beat Iran and Bahrain by 4 goals, but Qatar destroyed both of those teams. They were 12 goals up against Bahrain mid-second half, and 9 goals up against Iran. If it was necessary, they could have won both of them by 10 or more goals. They are simply one level above all the other teams, their players are extremely motivated to finally win the gold medal. Korea can maybe keep the goal difference to around five, but they will have a hard time covering this handicap. The margin is really low, even if there wasn't such a huge difference in quality, and Qatar are capable of reaching it in the final five minutes. Korea won't be able to keep the pace up throughout the game. I think the margin is set at least one goal too low. I expect Qatar to win this by at least 4, 5 goals or even more. Details

Three of their head to head games ended with more than 21 games, while one ended right at that margin. It's not surprising since both are consistent from the baseline and details are always deciding their matches. To be honest, I had a hard time deciding whether to opt for the counter-handicap at Kuznetsova. She will definitely have break opportunities, just like Dellacqu and Diyas, but the question how good she will do her service games remains. I decided for the greater number of games in total in the end because she didn't cover the counter-handicap against Sharapova, despite winning the set convincingly. There will be quite a few breaks and long rallies in this very close match. I don't expect either player to win convincingly in straight sets, especially given the lack of consistency they are both experiencing lately. Details

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