betprepare.com

This is a match that's been expected in excitement since day one, and no doubt this is one of the strongest duels of this Davis Cup weekend. The sixth and the fourth player of the world will face each other. There aren't many secrets between them, and judging by their duels, we'll see a lot more in the future. They faced each other six times so far, and those matches were all pretty evened out, and the details decided things. We should mention there were ten tie-breaks, four in the first set. The conditions are fast here, and the only realistic scenario is another evened out match. I expect both to come here fully focused, aware of the fact that every error of the break will cost them a lot. So, my choice is a tie-break in the first set, and for a unit or a few more, I recommend an over on a total sum in a match. This bet can be found under the offer "1st Set Correct Score", and is applied to the 7-6 result in the first set, no matter who gets it. Details

Both teams die for each point in trying to secure staying in the league. Today's match is really important for both, and Caserta are trying to catch up with -4 from the first match. It ended 68-64, and we should expect something similar today. Orlando are the worst offense of the league with 69.8 points per match, and Caserta aren't brilliant with their 74.8. Orlando are good defensively, conceding 74.3 per match, they're the oldest team of the league, have Basile who's 40, and Nicević who's 38, and those two can't run too much. They can play zone defense that helped them leave Avellino at 65 points in the last round. Their last four matches all ended at 140, 131, 130, and 135 points. Caserta limited their opponents to 65 points in the winning streak, and they were defeated in the last two when they conceded 87 and 81. It's obvious that Orlando don't have the capacity to score that much, and it's even more obvious they'll have to play a rough defense if they want to win today. The first match ended at 132 points, so this margin is far from being realistic. Details

Yes, Conegliano are a favorite, and it would be a real sensation if they didn't win this, but I doubt this match will end as expected. I also think Forli could take (at least) one set. If they did it against Casalmaggiore and Arsizio, they're definitely capable of doing it again today, especially because Conegliano rarely really crushed any of their opponents so far (they celebrated in straight sets only three times so far). Another argument is that the match these two played in the first part of the season was only decided in the tie-break, and Forli looked much worse then than they do now. I think with odds like these, it would be a good call to invest something in this counter handicap. Details

Out of four Hannover's matches after the World Championship break, three were over today's margin. If we point out that two out of those three were against defensively strong Berlin and Balingen, then it's clear that this Hannover is not defensive and currently can't keep this match around 50 goals. Magdeburg 62, Fuche 58, Hamburg 66, Kiel 59, Goppingen and Flensburg 58. Those are their matches against some of the best teams of the league. Lowen pulverized them terribly and in the end it was 32-20, and in the last four seasons in home matches against Lowen it was regularly 66, 58, 65, 61. Today we have a situation in which Lowen, because Guardiola's absence, they played a 5-1 formation with Uwe at the front. Because of that they lost a certain dose of compactness, but they became even faster in other segments. Hannover still had injured players, but realistically they're missing Christophersen the most, while Patrail and Buschmann were out the whole season. They manage to replace the wings, Karason and Hafner are excellent in the back line, and they gained a lot with Mirkulovski's arrival. Their defense doesn't look trustworthy and I don't see how will they manage to stop the fast and very agile Lowen's offense with Du Reitz - Schmid - Petersson trio. This meeting is currently closer to 60 than to 55 goals. Details

This text will be published soon. Details

This text will be published soon. Details

Aarau didn't feel the joy of win for the last five months, and that's hell of a long time, considering that they're not any worse than some of the direct rivals in the relegation battle. What I want to point out is that the black series can't last forever, and sooner or later, they'll vent out on someone. That someone could be St. Gallen, who are still looking for the right form after the break, and for now aren't the shadow of a team who were legitimate candidates for one of the places leading to the Europa League last fall. With that, and considering the law of probability, I think a home team's win is worth a smaller stake here, because it's paid triple, which I think is overrated. Details

Mayer was under a lot of pressure against Belllucci. Thomaz is realistically speaking a much better player than Souza, and Leo played the second match of the day, so they were both under pressure because the Brazilians lead 0-1. Mayer reacted great, and didn't give a break-ball in two out of three won sets. He used his good serve and aggressive game, and earned the win. I think those will be the key against Souza. Berlocq controlled everything, 2-1 in sets, 3-1 in the fourth, and two tied break-balls, and then only two more games till the end of the match. That doesn't happen often to him, but confirm how hard he plays for the DC team. Mayer still slept an hour before the match, he's relaxed, confident, and showed it. Berlocq was passive and played shallow when he had to crush Souza, so the Brazilian came back and played the tennis that suits him best. Mayer can't do that, actually, the Argentinian will defeat him with "his" game. Souza is aggressive and has a good serve, Mayer has an even better serve, and his aggressiveness is more consistent. Everything Souza does, Mayer does better, so there's a reason he's in top 30. The pressure is on Mayer, but it was on Friday, because if he had lost that one, it would have been the end of it for the Argentinians, like today, and he still reacted in a great way. Mayer is a better player, more consistent, and I think he'll easily win this. I think he won't even lose a set. Mostly because he'll force Souza to play defensively and hit out of balance, which Souza hates. Berlocq doesn't have that tennis in him, and he should have won, but he panicked and lost. Mayer will make Souza show the bad tennis he usually manages to hide because he controls the rallies, and that bad tennis includes defensive, playing the hits while running, and out of balance. I personally don't think any of Souza's hits are better than Mayer's. I don't think he has a mental advantage either, because that's Souza's weakness. Details

Granca confirmed their good form on an away match in Zagreb where they crushed Cedevita. Now, they'll face a much harder opponent who is also in a good form, but there are a few reasons I think this handicap is a good option. First, Granca have Tavares who's strong and can deal with Bracelona's towers in the paint. Second, they're an extremely uncomfortable opponent to anyone when they play at home, and they rarely lose matches here. Third is that Granca's style definitely doesn't suit Barcelona. There's a lot of running, shots from fastbreaks, everything Real do and that Barcelona can't deal with. Not many European teams can match Barcelona in set basketball, but Granca definitely have a chance with their game style. Let's just mention that Navarro is out today, and he's an extremely important players in away matches like these. He showed it on Thursday because without him, Barcelona never would have defeated Panathinaikos. Granca are that level, give or take, and I think they'll definitely give the guests a hard time. Details

I think the odds are missed here, and set exclusively based on Samara's last results. The Russian team will play with four players who missed the last matches here. Berzins and Bristol are the team's best players, and Matejunas and Fidij have important roles in the rotation. Besides, Glazunov and Gudumak should play for the first time, and they should be important reinforcements. Artešin was in the roster in the last matches, but didn't play, so he's expected to contribute today. If all the announcements come true, Samara will have seven players here, a few of them the most important ones, and that changes things a lot. I think they have at least an even chance to win. Besides, the rest of the team played the best match in Astana, especially Zarjažko, who dealt well with a team much stronger than Riga. The Latvians played without Robinson and Fall in Moscow, there's no info on whether they play here, but I write this pick as if the Latvians were complete. Even with that ratio of strength, this bet has a huge value. And if they dont' play, I think that Samara, with all the injured players recovered and back, should have much bigger chances to win at home. This team were weakened at the beginning of 2015, but defeated Enisej and Oktjabr at home, and lost to Kalev after the overtime, teams all similar to Riga. I think the guests will have a pretty tough job, and I think these odds are missed. Details

Even though a tournament final should be intense, this one won't. Zhu got five games against Wozniacki, all other opponents one game less, so I wonder how Dulgheru could get seven (!) games after playing for three hours against Gajdosova. That could only happen if there's the thirteenth game in one of the sets. Dulgheru can send a big thank you card to Jarmila Gajdosova for being in the final. Not using a single of 14 break chances in the third set, and seven of which in a single game, that's unbelievable. Dulgheru pointed out she felt fatigue, she ran a lot against Gujdosova, and playing for three hours in conditions such as these in Kuala Lumpur is far from easy. Wozniacki is much more rested here, which is one of the bases for this pick. The second one is the games her opponents got here. The third one is that Wozniacki, as strange as it sounds, didn't play a single match that was good all the way through, and she still won them all, and is improving her form. The fourth is definitely Dulgheru's bad serve, which means she can't count on a big number of free points, and can hardly match Wozniacki in the rallies. Wozniacki came here as the first seed, she owes it from two years back, she defeated all of her opponents convincingly here, so I don't see why Dulgheru wouldn't join that list. She wasn't supposed to be in this final anyway. Details

The margin was set to 154 points in the first match, and was missed by two points. I expect a convincing under now. There are plenty of reasons. The most important one is definitely an element of surprise. The Breakers surprised the Tapians with their game in the first match, and Jackson's explosiveness was used, and he scored 22 points. That won't happen this time ebcause the Taipans will be ready, and we can expect this match to be slower. Besides, coach Fearne was mad at his players after the match for rushing things in certain moments. They shot for 26 three-pointers, and that's what he pointed out. He wants clear shots, even if it means waiting for the shot clock violation alarm. On the other hand, the Breakers got their first win and they're aware of its importance. If they celebrate at home, they're one step away from the title. They used the advantage in the paint, where they scored over 20 points, and they'll definitely push the ball towards Ibewke who can use his speed and get lay-up or extort a fault. While the guests depend on Wilbekin too much, the Breakers can't impose their fast rhythm without Webster and Jackson. Both coaches are aware of the stakes in this match, and will go for a slower game without too many risks, so an under is a real possibility. Details

A powerful home team versus the weak visitors. Dallas proved them are one of the top teams in the league last fall and start the new season with basically all the same players, who have all recovered from injuries that turned out a great problem in last season's finish. Their home record is 10-2-1, while the Quakes have 0-2-6 away.
Visitors have changed a lot, starting with the coach and not everything is expected to work from the start especially given the injuries of three good players. While Kinnear doesn't get them on the level he hopes for, they will rely on their new stadium but I don't think they're ready for challenges like this one. Details