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This game should be a one-way street and I don't think the Jaguars' running backs will have too many chances which is why this margin is a bit too high. Maurice Jones-Drew wins 3,1 yards per rush, and I don't think he will have too much space against one of the best defenses in the league. The 49ers front seven is fantastic, probably one of the best in the NFL, and it will focus on stopping MJD at least in the initial stages of the game until they build a lead and then Jaguars will be forced to pass the ball. MJD hasn't gone over this margin in 5 out of 7 games, and I doubt he will do it today. Details

There are big chances of C.J.Spiller not playing tonight, but I still think this tip is worth while. Bills' dynamic running back performed in every game of the season, but his time on the field and his production have been limited since he gained an ankle injury against Ravens on September 29th, and that's why he missed the practice on Friday. Since his condition is far from ideal, I doubt he'll go over the given margin. Saints should dominate the game, and I doubt Bills' running backs will have a lot of work to do. Even if Spiller does play, I don't see them having over 10 carries. Details

Truth be told, the Bucks have been far from impressive this season but the same could be said of the Falcons, who will miss a couple of very important players tonight, especially in offense. As accustomed as they have become to the absence of running back Stephen Jackson, replacing Roddy White and Julio Jones, some of the best receivers in the league, will be a difficult task. Thus, quarterback Matt Ryan has lost some of his best targets. In addition, the Falcons will most likely play without their left tackle Sam Baker (knee) and linebackers Akeem Dent (ankle) and Sean Weatherspoon (foot). The visiting team may not form a part of NFL elite but it is my opinion that they possess enough quality to compete with the decimated Falcons. In addition to counter-handicap, it wouldn't be a bad idea to try with the under on the home team (25,5). Details

I think my reasoning is clear here. No one has probably ever played a bigger role of favourite than the Broncos tonight. That's why I doubt it Peyton Manning will stay in the game till the end. True, the Jaguars' defense was horrible, and that is precisely why I expect the Broncos to decide the winner of the match in the first halftime, and fill the rest of the time with rushing and occasional short passes. Since Manning is no longer young, I'm sure no one at Denver wants him to stay in the match that's already settled. The same happened in the match with the Eagles - he spent the last quarter out of the game. The Broncos have only one goal this year - the title, and they won't risk the possibility for the man they depend on to get injured. The match also suggests he will throw much less than up till now. Besides, he stayed under this margin in two out of five matches, and this opponent will probably be in around 20 point deficit by halftime. Details

At the start of the week C.J. Spiller was seen limping. He managed to do some training but I doubt he is in proper shape. Last Sunday Fred Jackson took much of the responsibility while Spiller had only eight rushes. Tonight he might not end under ten carries but I don't believe he will have many more than against Browns and in addition he will be facing the best offensive seven of the league. Besides, the match could go in such a way that Bills will have to catch up which will significantly lower the number of rushes. Details

Wes Welker has in each of the first four games scored a touchdown, including the one against Giants when he had just three catches. In this season he caught a total of 26 balls for 226 yards and scored six touchdowns. In the Broncos offense he feels equally comfortable as when the ball was passed to him by Tom Brady, and his 44 career TDs are enough of an indicator how desirable he is in the red zone. The Cowboys defense does not inspire much confidence to be able to stop the Denver attacks so I am convinced that one of the all-time best slot receivers will at least one enter the end zone with the ball. Details

When I consider the Giants defensive play in the first four weeks, this pick was pretty obvious. They are conceding 36.5 points in average, the least to the Chiefs (31),is still way above the limit. To make things even more certain, they are up against the Eagles, the fastest team of the league. Their offensive mastermind Chip Kelly quickly set the "wild" Michael Vicks and LeSean McCoy in to his extra fast offense that demolished all opponents of Oregon University last year. If measured in yards Eagles offensive is just behind the Broncos (458.8), they are in the lead in running averages with 198.2 yards, and they take 6.1 yards in carries. Vick has plenty of tools at his disposal to dismantle the Giants defense, who got only 4 sacks this season. This is an important match for both teams, so I believe that the score table on Met Life Stadium will flash a lot, especially for the team on the road. Details

At first glance at these two opponents, we can expect that this will be high scoring game, and as no team can "defend" against the Packers the only thing left is to go offensively. The defense of the home team is in the lower third in the league with 404,3 allowed yards and 29,3 conceded points, and the Lions attack is sixth in the league by conquered yards (404,8), and fourth by points scored (30,5). The team from Detroit have one of the most versatile running backs in the whole league (Reggie Bush), the best receiver (Calvin Johnson), and the rest of the team are also good especially tigh ends. Matthew Stafford is pulling the reins of the entire orchestra who is, like Manning, Rodgers, Brady or Brees, the gunman in his soul and not afraid to throw a few deep balls and given the Packers shaky secondary I believe that his recievers will have more than enough space. All in all, Lions should pass this line with no difficulties. Details

I feel that the Patriots good streak is about to end tonight, since they are coming to the Paul Brown Stadium to play against a much better team. The Bengals truth be told did not live up to the expectations, but they beat Steelers (20-10) and Packers (34-30) so the boys from Boston, decimated by injuries should not pose a real threat. Brady lost almost all of his last years receivers, and those that stayed, (Gronkowski, Amendola) are injured. Amendola is on the road with his team and the decision on his playing is to be made just before the game starts, which leads to the conclusion that he is far from his top form. Brady might have a lot on his hands since Stevan Ridley is along with Shanee Vereen also injured. Le Garette Blount and Brandon Bolden are nowhere near as dangerous at running as are Ridley and Veeren and this will be the chance for the leagues’ most expensive defense to prove its worth. Patriots offensive is down from the previous seasons, best proven by their scoring average of 22.2 points and with an advancing average of 367.2 yards. With the five times pro bowl lineman Vince Wilfork down, the defensive play might have problems too. The Bengals played a terrible game in Cleveland last week, so I expect them highly motivated to win tonight against a team in shambles that still has a 4-0 winning average. Details

There has either been a mix-up in the names, or the betting companies know something I do not, and since I think the former is the case, I decided to write this forecast. It is possible that the bookies were considering Darren Sprogles (who is no longer available), who is known to be a great runner, and who likes to receive the ball. In the opposite case, the margin Pierre Thomas did not go over is strange. In all he had 29 attempts at running for 101 yards, while in 19 passes he added 111 yards. Sproles is much busier in game than he is, enjoying an almost unlimited trust of the quarterback Brees. Thomas did not have more than 11 runnings this season, (9,5,11,4) and 6 passings (4,4,6,5). So I do not think that he can go over this limit against the Bears aggressive defense. Details

I think this is an error by the bookmakers and I will try to explain why. It didn't take long for the offensive guru like Chip Keppy to fit "wild" Michael Vick and LeSean McCoy into his quick-paced offense that he used to destroyed the opponent of the Oregon University. The Eagles' offense is just behind the Broncos in terms of yards rushed (461,7), an they can boast the highest league average of rushed yards with over 209,0 yards and they get 6,6 yards per carry which is more 1,3 yards more than any other team. Vick has more than enough weaponry at his disposal to harm Broncos who lost two great pass rushers through the departure of Elvis Dumervil and the suspension of Von Miller. The Eagles' offense scored 33, 30 and 16 points in the first 3 games while the Broncos conceded 27, 23 and 21 points and none of the games were as fast as the one we will see tonight. Details

Wes Walkerr managed to score a touchdown in every one of the first three games, even in the one against the Giants, where he had just three recieves. This season he caught 19 balls for 190 yards and made four touchdowns. The Broncos use him the same way the Patriots did last season, and the 42 touchdowns me score throughout his career are enough proof of how much the quarterbacks like to look for him when entering the red zone. A game with a large number of points is expected in Denver tonight, as well as touchdowns, and I believe that the best slot reciever of all time will score at least one. Details

In order to protect their QB Redskins are forced to use a lot less read-option than they are used to, which means that RGIII is forced to throw the football very often. In first three rounds he had more than 40 passes per game (49, 40, 50) and his completion rate was 63,3%. Each time he passed the stated margin with ease (329, 320, 326). Raiders defence improved since last season, but their secondary is still not that good. I believe Redskins and Griffin will know how to exploit their weaknesses in the defence. Details

The Jaguars are playing as expected, they are losing everywhere they come and I believe they don't have many chance against Colts that will not want to mar the impression after their last week's 27-7 win in San Francisco. The home team are getting back their first-team quarterback but I have been saying for the last two season that he is no better than his replacement (Henne). The Jags are by far the worst team in scored points and yards won (9,3 and 230,3, respectively). The trademark of their franchise, running back Maurice Jones-Drew is recovering from ankle injury that limited him to 2,6 yards per carry, his career lowest. The Jaguars will not be able to do much against the Colts' defense without him, as they stopped Keppernick last week and should have no problem against Gabbert. The Jaguars have scored 11 points in the first 2 weeks and have surprisingly scored 17 in Seattle last Sunday but the home team rested their first-team regulars for the whole first half. The Colts cannot afford something like that and I expect them to approach this game seriously and hold the weak Jaguars' attack as far as from the end zone as possible. Details

Bucks haven't come close this margin with their experienced quarter-back and I don't know what they can hope for with their rookie. After a 0-3 start of the season, their coach Greg Schiano decided that Josh Freeman was given enough opportunities and decided to give Mike Glennon a chance, a rookie chosen in the third round of this year's draft, who is faced with the task of coordinating the attack that is on 29th position in the league in yards rushed (282,0). With Freeman, Bucks scored 18 points against Jets, 17 against Saints, and only 3 against Patriots. The Cardinals' defense is no worse than all 3 defenses and the two main receivers Vincent Jackson and Mike Williams are having injury problems, which makes their appearance tonight questionable, even though they are expected to play. The guests are very motivated and I believe they will leave Florida as winners and leave the home team under this margin. Details

The Vikings have started off the season with two clumsy defeats and I believe they will vent their frustration on the boys from Cleveland, who will be missing their two starters in two vital offensive positions. Quarterback Brandon Weeden is out due to an injury of a thumb on his throwing hand, and running back Trent Richardson was traded to Indianapolis for a first-round draft pick. Clearly, new general manager Michael Lombardi wants to take out the weeds remaining from the old regime and start over, sacrificing another season in the process. The QB starting position will be taken by Brian Hoyer, who was Tom Brady's replacement in the Patriots before transferring to the Steelers in 2012, but he had a short stay there, and then again with the Cardinals. Since he had only 96 passes for 616 yards over four seasons, it's hard to expect that the Browns' offense will be given a new lease of life, especially due to the fact that their running backs Chris Ogbonnaya and Bobby Rainey are not exactly world class, while new signing Willis McGahee has had barely enough time to change his clothes, let alone learn the plays. It is unrealistic to expect any major contribution from him, even though he is a very good veteran player. The Browns yielded 16 points and a modest 550 yards in their first two games, and I believe that the Vikings' defense is good and motivated enough to keep them under this margin. Details

Robert Griffin III had to undergo several knee surgeries in January and because of them he was uncertain to appear at the start of the season and even though he missed the preparations he did play in the first two matches, leading the offense of the Redskins, but it was obvious he was restrained in his play. His team lost both matches and there is no more room to be careful so I expect Robert Griffin III to be much closer to his last year's performance. Last season he rushed for 815 yards and had seven touchdowns while this season he had only nine carries for 25 yards and he had no runs from zone-read which made him almost unstoppable last season. It is obvious Redskins wanted to spare their franchise quarterback from heavy blows but it is equally obvious they need to change something.
- "It is not about me wanting to run more, I just feel that is something we have to do. If that is what is necessary to win matches then I'm ready to do it" - said Robert Griffin III this week.
Judging by the situation, I doubt that he said this for no reason. That is why I expect him to be more aggressive tonight than in the first two matches and it wouldn't surprise me if he would end up with twice as much yards than this limit shows. Details

The Patriots haven't surpassed this total in either of the last two games, and I don't think they will tonight either, because their problem isn't just lack of coordination, but lack of quality as well. The fact that Julian Edelman caught 20 balls, and the rest of the team 28, only proves this point. Also, 10 of the ball were caught by Danny Amendola, who will probably miss his second game in a row because of groin injury. Tom Brady probably can't wait for tight end Rob Gronkowski to return, he's still recovering from back surgery, and he practiced this week, but isn't certain to play. Brady's frustration was obvious last Thursday against the Jets, when he completed only 19 of 39 passes for 185 yards - his lowest total in three seasons. The Patiots offense is probably missing the versatile running back Shane Vereen the most, since he can also be used as a receiver, especially in the slot position. Although he played only one game, Vereen rushed for 101 yards, which is almost a half of the rushing yards the Patriots produced so far (212). The Bucs defense have allowed a total of 34 points in two games, and they were especially impressive last Sunday against the Saints, whom they limited to 16 points. Darelle Revis and the rest of the Bucs secondary can stop the confused Patriots receivers, and I believe the front seven have enough quality to slow down Stevan Ridley and the versatile Julian Edelman. Details

I am fully aware that Seahawks had an 8-0 home score last season, but I do believe that streak could be broken today. The San Francisco squad are current runners-up and, in my opinion, the most balanced team in the League. Their front defensive seven is simply fantastic, as well as their offensive line in the attack, while Colin Kaepernick might even be the most versatile quarterback in the history of the game. The 49ers suffered a heavy beating at CenturyLink Field last season, but Kaepernick is much better acquainted with his tasks now and has a new favourite target in the shape of Anquan Boldin. Boldin managed to catch 13 passes and won 208 yards. The 49ers are dangerous from all positions, something Seahawks can't boast. They play somewhat more conservative attacks, and can't measure up defensively either. Regardless of the home advantage, this is a 50-50 game in my opinion, one which has a tendency of a low score, so this handicap might be a good bet. Details

We have a relative high limit on "Manning Bowl" but I believe it will be easily surpassed and will try to briefly explain why. The Giants scored 31 points in their last week game despite losing six balls and the only thing they did in the first quarter was a field goal. Prior to season beginning the Giants lost their running back Andre Brown who was supposed to share the load with David Wilson but after Wilson had two fumbles Manning was forced to lead his team by himself and he had 42 passes, 27 of which were successful, for a total of 450 yards and four touchdowns. I wrote about Broncos defense last week when I mentioned how much they miss the renegade Elvis Dumervil (went to Baltimore) and suspended Von Miller and their secondary positions are crippled since Champ Bailey is inactive. A lot could be read on the performance of older Manning but it is enough to say that against reigning champions he had 462 passing yards and with 7 touchdowns has tied the league record in passing touchdowns. Giants and Broncos had in the first week combined 47 running attempts against 84 passes and I doubt they will change their offensive philosophies. It is the start of the season and defenses are far from ideal. Manning brothers are a guarantee of high number of passes after which the clock will be stooped or continue to run after the ball is caught so there will be no downtime during the game which should bring the most efficient game of this week. Details