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Basketball » VTB (M), 13. round
OddsStatsTip
04.02.2014. 16:30 Finished
Krasnye Krylya Samara - Krasny Oktyabr (83:78)
Away team total points (OT incl.) 79 tip: Under   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.90 5/10 1.70 78 Marathon bet
This will be duel of two different styles of basketball. The margin for total points is at a high 167.5, while Samara went over 160 only once this season, vs Oradea in the Eurochallenge, when the game totaled 163. On the other hand we have Oktyabr, whose basketball style is now common knowledge. The rookies in the league are playing run-and-gun, and although their coach repeatedly voiced his displeasure with the defense, the players have yet to show some major progress. Bazarevič, who coaches Samara, pointed out this game was one of the key matches in the battle for the playoff, and I believe we will see Samara in their best edition today.
I had a choice of several options, such as handicap on the home team, or under on the total, but in the end I chose under on the away team, kind of a middle ground. I believe we will not be seeing a 170+ point game, but Oktyabr's defense does not inspire much confidence, despite all the issues Samara have on offense. On the other hand, in the 20 games Samara played in all the competitions this season, it was in only three that they allowed the opponents to score over 79.5, in away games vs Triumf and Riga, where they conceded precisely 80, and in a home game vs the mighty Himki, when they were weaker and demolished early in the game. Oktyabr play better at home, and it was Samara that limited them to the least points scored in Volgograd, only 74. Today's game is even more important, and I believe Samara will know how to control the away team.
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