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I was a bit skeptical about Ana's reasons for coming to Bol- Grass court season stats next week and those are her best conditions. Other than this being a Croatian tournament, I don't see any other reason for her to choose it. However, Ana's performances here were great. She trashed Min and Soyla and I can't say Mrdeza is better than either of them. They're all quite close quality-wise. Konjuh is 11-2 against players outside of Top 100 this season. She lost only to Bertens and Wozniack. Bertens is in RG semis and that says enough. Ana's matches before Bol were worse than the ones she played here. Seh covered the handicap in 6 out of 8 matches against players outside Top 150. It didn't happen only against Wozniack and Garcia-Perez. It means we basically have 6 for 7 when it comes to this bet. Most importantly, Konjuh seems motivated, unlike before. Mrdeza has ryhtm but questionable rhythm. She played just two tournaments before Bol - two ITF tournaments where she played two matches and won 9. She was never the underdog. Let's see how she does against Top 100 players. She covered the +5 only three times in 9 matches. She lost to Niculescu, Pavlyuchenkova, Parmentier and to Cepelova and Rodina. Pavlyuchenkova is the only better player among them. The rest of them are close to Konjuh.
Also, Mrdeza lost 6 out of 10 matches against players in spots 101-150 by more than 5 games. I think we have a good bet here. Mrdeza cant' handle players of Konjuh's quality and Konjuh doesn't lose matches to players like her. Mrdeza is also very defense-oriented and won't be calling the shots here. Ana can cover this easily with the kind of a game from first two matches.