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I think it pays out to force an over on Melbourne for the second week in a row. Maybe they won't pass as easily as they did with Victory, but it's realistic to expect three to four goals.
The home team have trouble with their defense which they can't get rid of so quickly and it's obvious they will have trouble until they get at least one quality back. On the other hand, they have Villa (for whom this is probably his last match and who wishes to say goodbye in proper style); the wing duo Mooy-Duff are functioning great and, as the coach says, the offensive is the least of their troubles.
Under Gombauo Adelaide are always playing an open game, especially now when they started doing well with the scores. Twice they stayed an under, but each time they scored (like City) and it would be a surprise if they don't manage to do the same against the most porous opponent so far. As was the case last Friday, for the more cautious among you, I would suggest the both-teams-score option, but I think it's worth to try with a braver option.