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Mariana Duque-Marino really had luck with the draw but I don't think she will be able to win easily. She is not doing very well on hard court. Players with good quality shots can get past her. Kenin is one of those players. She will attack and look for winners. She often plays drop shots and forced the player to lose balance. That will be important against Mariana, who often approached the net. She's not that good at it yet but Kenin can stand up to her in first serves. On top of that, she has good result and that makes it clear that this match will be closer than the odds suggest.