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The 130,5 points under seems like the best option here since neither team likes fast-pace and don't have great offensive ends. However, they are both doing well in defense. Romania are, alongside Croatia, the only team without a defeat but I'm not sure they are better than Portugal. These teams met twice just before the championship - Romania won 59-55 once and lost 68-49 the second time. We need to note that Romania played without their top three players in that second game. Romania recorded overs with Hungary and Macedonia but they stayed under with Portugal. At the championship, they had an over with Malta, who play horribly defense, and Macedonia at 131 points. They finished at 114 with Georgia and 121 with Albania. Portugal mostly played games at over 130 points but I still think defense is their strong suit. They limited Croatia to 75 points and Croatian offensive end is at least one level above all others.
To sum up, unless something unexpected happens here, I believe we have good grounds for 120, especially since this is QFs which means both teams will try their best. There will be no chance for making amends later on. They played two tough preparation games and I don't see things being different here.