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Handball » Svjetsko prvenstvo U21 (M), 4. round
OddsStatsTip
23.07.2017. 19:00 Finished
FYR Macedonia - Spain (25:36)
Home team 1st half total goals 11.5 tip: Under   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.75 5/10 1.70 11.5 Bet365
Direct clash for the top spot in the group and I expect Spain to start tough. The team that wins the top position will likely avoid France and Germany, and definitely Iceland and Croatia until the semi-final so the motivation should be high. This team is defensively very strong, at the first two competitions under Suarez they conceded over this margin in the first half only against Switzerland (13 and then 10 in the second), Germany, Iceland and France, who are offensively better than Macedonia. Martinez's arrival has not changed things, last year at the EC they conceded 12 to Russia and 15 to Iceland, less in other games, including France. The most relevant game here is the one against Brazil (9), and of the last year's, the 10 against Slovenia and 8 against Poland and Croatia.
Macedonia's biggest strength is defense and discipline, which failed against Tunisia, and they cannot look for success that way, especially not against better teams. It is no accident they scored only 21 against Portugal (9 in the 1st half) in the qualifiers, and last year, in more relevant games, in the first halves they scored 7 against Norway, 11 Denmark and Netherlands. Against Tunisia they tried to play 7-on-6 at one point but gave up on it quickly, and even though they will try that here as well, I doubt that will happen at the start.
They faced Spain at the 2014 EC, they both had different selectors then, but the styles and key players are the same. The game ended 31-16, 11-8 in the first half, Macedonia later fell apart and the final result is too rough. However, that first half is relevant, because I expect something similar today as well. Macedonia will not score over 11 goals in the first 30 minutes.
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