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Ever since I've seen them play H2H, I've been thinking about a total under because I don't see this falling apart. This is the first playoffs game, it's the best-of-five series. It's important for both teams to start this well. They met two times this season. The first one ended at 160 points but that is not as relevant as the second which was played at 146. Strasbozrg played at 150 with faster-paced Pau Orthez, then at 151 points (that game fell apart in the third quarter) and the third one which was the crucial one was played at 140. Lyon slowed down Monaco which not a lot of teams were able to do this season. All of their 3 QF games stayed under today's margin and that is why I'm going with this tip. Nelson is now at point guard position, they are not fast-paced and will played a controlled game. Strasbourg have the defense capable of responding to that easily. In the comparable games, Strasbourg have 139 with Nantere, 149 with Paris, 144 with Cjalon, 125 with Pau Ortehez home. In CL, they have no overs at this margin. Their defense doesn't need any more explanations. Looking at Lyon's results away this season, there are some problems. They have an over with Paris at 156 points, two overs with Monaco, with Pao Prthez but a lot of those relevant games are from when Hodge was on the team. They have two overs away, both at the start of the season. The stakes are extremely high here, Lyon are playing much better defense now as they proved in the Monaco games. I think this margin is not too high.