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The margin is at 153,5 and may be a few points too high. Two out of four head-to-head games went over but those two were blowouts. The one here finished at 77-69, the last one in Piraeus at 73-71. An even better option is Efes at under 77,5. I really don't see them going over that. They were under in all 4 h2h games. They won the last one 73-71 with a lot of luck and lack of caution by the Greeks, who do a good job stopping Brown. Efes' guards aren't a major factor here, only Dunston is in the paint. Brown and Thomas basically don't exist due to their inability to play defenses like these and the fact Perasovic cannot play without Honeycutt.
The Greeks are still convinced they will go through and I'm convinced as well (the win at 2,15 is a good choice as well). The team under comes from that and the fact it's smartest to play at Oly's top segment - defense.
I don't talk much about numbers from 30 games of regular season because that is basically irrelevant now. The most important is the impression from the h2h games and this series. It says Efes have to work hard for every point.