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I will start with some things that might be less important, but they can affect the bet. Enisey have been at home for 11 days, they haven't traveled, they trained and played two games and won both of them, against Unics and Parma Perma. Demir had to travel to Siberia which is never simple, they are coming here after two unpleasant defeats, and the last one at home to Balikesir was especially painful, they conceded 87 in the regulation time, made 20 offensive rebounds, and Enisey are the best team in VTB in that segment, which is a big deal. They faced each other twice already this season, Enisey won the first head-to-head by 9, lost the second, but without the Americans on the team, so without two of their best players and in the situation when they already knew they advanced through the group.
Looking at Enisey's latest results, we come to the conclusion that they had Kuban on the ropes, but Hilliard missed two free throws, they conceded a three pointer in the last seconds, later they defeated Benfica, Unics and Parma. There are some games there that are not in favor of the handicap, at home against Donar, but they were at 3-0 then, in a good position. That is the biggest downside here, but we have the first game here, a big difference in form right now and I think we should use it.
Another thing is important here, and that is the schedule. It is important to win today by the biggest possible margin. There are no games in the VTB League over the weekend because of the All Star game, but Enisey have an important game against Kalev in the battle for VTB play-off the weekend before the game in Turkey. On the other side, Demir have no games that week because of the Turkish Cup, they will prepare solely for Enisey and the Russians need a good lead today ahead of that unpleasant away game. Hilliard is eligible for today's game so Enisey are complete.
Statistically speaking, Enisey covered this four times at home, failed to do so twice. Demir's record on this margin is 2-4 in Europe, but they lost to Rilski. In the Turkish championship they have a single away win the entire season, they covered the handicap only against Besiktas and Banvit of the more serious teams, and I think they will not be able to compete against the Russians today, for whom this competition is very important and they reached the Final Four last season.