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The set margin is not missed if we take into consideration the fact that Aris are, in the FIBA League, at an average of 145,8 points, at around 141 at home, and Strasbourg at 143 overall and 149 away, but we should consider some other elements as well. This is the first of two games in the first round of play-off, the results are summarized which means there is no danger of overtime here, and there is no need to talk further about the importance of the game. In the Champions League Group A, Aris' results against teams that are defensively close to Strasbourg's quality are as follows: at 122 against Frankfurt, 127 against Monaco, they went over 160 against Banvit, but Banvit are not a defense oriented team, in the Greek championship they were under 130 against PAOK, at 133 against Olympiacos, and at 130 against Panathinaikos (away at PAOK at 120, AEK 142, Monaco 146, Frankfurt 155 with 50 in the last quarter). Aris have not scored over 63 points in any of the mentioned home games, the only exception is the game against AEK in the Cup. Aris won 77-76, but it is known that they are much better at home than away.
Strasbourg had a bad start of the season, but the return of coach Collet changed a lot of things, especially in defense that allows around 68 points in the Champions League. Under Collet they played away as follows: at Canarias 60-60 in regulation time, won at Oostende 66-65, and under Dettman played under today's margin at Avellino. At home they were under 120 against the Italians, at 138 against Oostende, 147 against Canarias when they scored 53 points in the final quarter. In the French championship, they are usually at low numbers against stronger teams (like Monaco), they are athletically and physically a team for which Aris' coach says they struggle in offense against, I expect a similar thing today, a lot of struggle for both offenses, who are nothing special at the European level, but defensive stats are good in both teams.