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Neptunas have improved their form significantly lately, they won 10 of the last 11 games in all competitions, six back-to-back, but these low odds on them against PAOK are not justified, in my opinion. Their record in the Lithuanian championship is 6-5, 4-0 in the Champions League, they slipped through at Oldenburg and Usak, they were convincing at home, they defeated Varese by 34. The Italians are a team prone to falling apart, they are going through a rough period. The Lithuanians defeated ASVEL by 14 at home, and PAOK lost to ASVEL by 6, so why then go for the counter-handicap here? Things are not so simple. The Frenchmen went to the away game at Klaipeda at the worst time, when their point guard Meacham was injured, Nelson just arrived and with some other absences, they could not compete against Neptunas.
PAOK have not left a good impression so far, but they were not significantly outplayed, they lost by double-digits only at Panathinaikos at the start of the season. On Saturday they countered AEK well, the impression was that they could have won, in the Champions League they won at Varese and lost at Radom in overtime, all four of their European games were marked by defenses. I expect a tough game today, in accordance with the set margin of points. PAOK have, with the exception of the game against Lefkadas, shown better performances away then at home, and they are underestimated here, in my opinion. The Greeks may not win, but they are capable of parrying the Lithuanians until the end, Neptunas' home team under is also a good option.