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Basketball » Italy 1 (M), 27. round
OddsStatsTip
15.04.2017. 20:30 Finished
Pesaro - Caserta (83:67)
Total points (OT incl.) 155,5 tip: Under   Juraj
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.89 10/10 1.70 148.5 Pinnacle
I expect a tough game from start to finish and the best option is total under. Looking at Pesaro's home games, we have a relevant under with Cremona at 136 points, Sassari at 147 points, Cantu at 151 points, fast-paced Torino at 131, Capo at 138 points, Pistoia at 126, fast-paced Trento at 151, Avellino at 115, Brescia at 139. They have overs with fast-paced teams like Reggiana and Brindisi. The meetings with Venezia and Varese are not good but I think both of those teams are better in offense than Caserta right now. Pesaro managed to stop some of the fastest teams in the league home like Torino, Vantu and Brescua. They are 9-for-4 in unders home at this margin this season. Caserta's defense lately cannot be ignored. They have the over with Torino but Caserta conceded just 13 in the last quarter. Before that, they limited Brescia (126 points in total), with Venezia at 119, Capo at 145, Trento at 132, Milano at 152, Pistoia at 141, Cremona at 154. They are 7-for-3 for unders in the last 10 games. There are some problems there - the game with Varese. But Sosa was still on the team back then. He is now gone and Caserta have clearly turned to defense. They are strong in the paint and I don't think there will be easy points here. Cantu might be a problem as well, but since Recalcati got on the bench, they got better in offense and 102 points were scored in the second half. That won't be the case today. They had an over in the first h2h but with 30 points and 11 assists by Sosa, who is the key offensive player. Pesara said this game in crucial in their bid to stay in the league and I don't see it over this margin.
Both team unders are a good option, as well as total first half under.
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