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Basketball » ABA (M), 20. round
29.01.2017. 17:00 Finished
Zadar - Krka (77:83)
Total points (OT incl.) 155 tip: Under   Juraj
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.85 5/10 1.70 153.5 Pinnacle
This is a match which means a lot for both teams. Since MZT won esterday, now Krka and Zadar share the last place and whoever wins today will buy themselves some peace. Zadar are on a four-game losing run in ABA League, and in those last four gaes they recorded 75 points against Mega Leks, 65 against MZT, 80 against fast Cedevita, and 65 against Zvezda. Zadar don't have some special offensive power, that was seen in the last game on Friday where they recorded only 53 points against Sibenik. On the other hand, Krka didn't go over 73 points in ABA League in ten games in a row, and then came Cedevita in the last round. There they recorded 90, but Cedevita is no real measure. They're always fast, and Krka recorded 83 points against them in an away game in the first half of the season. Cedevita oscillate a lot, they came a day after an uncomfortable defeat in Split, and on Wednesday they already played against Alba. Krka aren't a team who score easily in away games, and since this game is a matter of life and death for Zadar because of the tough fixture, I think we'll see anything but a fast-paced game today. In the whole season at home, Zadar has only five overs on this margin, out of which one was against Cedevita, one against Zvezda which fell apart, one eagainst the very fast Mega. They also have an over against Igokea, and that's maybe the biggest minus here, and against Karpos Sokoli who fell apart in the second half. On the other side, Krka at the start of the season had some overs in away games, against fast-paced teams like Cedevita and Mega Leks, and in matches where they recorded a lot of points. After that Mega they had Mornar at 159 points (they recorded 73), and five unders in a row. Considering the importance of the game and the offensive inability of both teams, a total under seems like the best option. I don't expect the game to fall apart, and another fact that goes hand in hand with the bet is tradition. In Zadar in head-to-heads in the last four years there wasn't a single match over this margin. The first head-to-head remained at 159 points, but at the time Krka and Zadar both pushed hard, the relegation battle wasn't in sight. Today, the situation is completely different.
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