betprepare.com

This is a direct clash for the playoffs and the last chance for Izhevsk. Luch is in a much better situation now with two points more and 3 games less. But winning here and beating Stavropol in the last round would see Izhevsk put pressure on Luck, who have a realistic chance with Ufa and Adyfa until the end. Both teams averaged 55,5 goals, Izhevsk is 13/17 for unders, Luch 10/15. The difference between upper and bottom part of the table is significant in Russia. Almost all overs were in games against tougher rivals.

Looking at teams from the bottom part of the table, Izhevsk have 52 with Ufa away and 56 home (Ufa play at 52,8 on average). They ave 51 and 54 with Adyif (who average 54,5), 53 away with Stavropol (Stavropol are at 57,8). Luch has 46 with Ufa,54 with Adyif, 63 and 64 with Stavropol. The 63 is the only over for both teams in relevant games from the very start of the season. The 56 Izhevsk have with Ufa home is a problem but they had a lot of problems with injuries back then. Most of the team was down with the flu, which forced them to forfeit to Rostov just a few days before.

The first H2H went to 58. It was faster in the final part (26 in the first half, 37 in 45). 3 goals were scored in the last minute but they still stayed under. Team under at Izhevsk is a good option because they went over 26 only against Ufa in September. Since Luch went over 30 only in two (both home, neither over 32), and scored over 27 only against Krasnodar away, the total under is a better option in my opinion.