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Basketball » France 1 (M), Semi-finals
29.05.2016. 20:30 Finished
ASVEL - Monaco (80:59)
Total points (OT incl.) 142.5 tip: Under   Legolas17
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.96 5/10 1.83 140.5 Marathon bet
The margin is low, but I still think there is 'room' there. Let's start with the obvious, this is a series dominated by defenses and it is unlikely that will change ahead of the very important fourth game. This is ASVEL's match point for the finale, Monaco's last chance to get back in the series and get the fifth game. In the regular season, these two teams played games at 142 points (78-66 at Monaco) and 141 (67-74 at ASVEL). The first semi-final game at Monaco was at 140 points, the second one at 128, third at 123. The trend is obvious, as the games get more important, the defenses take over more. I watches the third game of the series, it is very hard to score. Both teams are playing great defense and if we have five out of five unders on this margin, then it doesn't make sense that in this game, the most important one, it will be different. Halftime under is also a good option (70, 62, 64, 74 with a foul at a three pointer with the sound of the siren so it should realistically have been 71 points, 57 - that were the points at halftimes in their head-to-heads). Also great statistically is Monaco team under at halftime - 33, 37 (with three free throws because of the foul on a three pointer), 29, 32 and 32 is what they scored against ASVEL at halftime, but I am still choosing the most conventional option - overall under. I think the difference between these options are minimal. This game is similar to the style of those against Dijon, Le Mans or Gravelines. Monaco has in those games - 129 (27-37 at halftime) away and 169 (55-47) at home with Gravelines, 124 (30-25) away and 150 (46-35) home with Dijon, and 153 (40-36) away and 148 (43-39) away against Le Mans. ASVEL have 136 (40-27) at home and 49-72 (25-43) away against Dijon, 142 (30-45) away and 115 (30-23) at home against Gravelines, and 148 (39-43) away and 146 (53-28) at home against Le Mans, Monaco went over in away games only against Le Mans, ASVEL at home also only against Le Mans.
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