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Hats off to Gottingen's achievements this season, I think the odds at Ludwigsburg's win are too high. Gottingen won in the first head-to-head but Ludwigsburg are now a different team. There are 4 new players on the team (Hammonds, Trice, Crawford, Kennedy, all of whom are important), and will be much more motivated today. Gottingen are safe from relegation and cannot reach playoffs. Their opponents, on the other hand, are trying to secure playoffs (currently sit in spot 8). Giessen are breathing down their necks, Oldenburg got ahead and every game is crucial now, especially because the schedule is not easy. They are to face Tubingen, which shouldn't be a problem, but after that they will face top table Ulm, play Alba in Berlin in the last round.
Ludwigsburg had quite a lot of ups and downs this season, they are 7-7 away in Bundesliga but looking at their games with teams with the same number of wins as Gottingen (or less), we see that they beat all of those teams Jena, Rasta, Tübingen, Giessen, Bremerhaven, Braunschweig, Würzburg). Gottingen lost to teams of quality similar to Ludwigsburg's home (Giessen (-10), Oldenburg (-20), Telekom (-9), Bayreuth (-35)). They only beat Alba, who are very inconsistent this season. The last home game against Brose can be taken as a con for this tip. Gottingen almost won but Brose were in a strange pace back then and weakened. They though they'd have it easy but it didn't work out that way.
Match-up is important here as well. Gottingen rely on point guard Sanders and guard Ruoff. Their opponents, on the other hand, have one of the most aggressive and physically most powerful back courts in the league. They are at a high level defense-wise, especially after acquiring Hammonds and Trice, defense specialists. They were not on the team in the first game with Gottingen. That will only give more motivation to Ludwigsburg today. They won't take this lightly. Details