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Panathinaikos' defense is definitely overrated here, and I don't see the reason for that. They are not as powerful defensively as they used to be, especially when Diamantidis is on the court, and the pick defense with Raduljica is not great either. Efes will definitely attack that with Heurtel and Granger. PAO have conceded at home over 73.5 against Darussafaka, Zvezda, Kuban, Barcelona, and they limited weak teams like Stalmet, Zalgiris and Karsiyaka under that margin. On the other side we have a team that have, in 16 Euroleague games, went over in 15 and were limited under the margin once last week against Fener's strong team, and even then they were limited to 73. Of Efes's eight away games, they haven't scored less than 77 once and we should respect that. Details

Nice have only two more regular season games left. They will try and make it among the top 6 teams and the playoffs. They have three points more and a game more than Besancone (6th spot) and Nantes (spot 7). This is one of the key games, which will require top focus by everyone. Also, this is the fifth game for them in the past two weeks for Nice. Everything we said about them goes for Metz too. They are playing three competitions and a point from this match would see them get a direct spot in semis as one of the top two teams.

Nice have 5 unders in seven home games at this margin. They are 4th best defense and meet the second best offense in the championship. Both teams have great goal keepers. Darleux at Nice has the best saves percentage, Glauser at Metz is top 3 in the league. Darleux missed the first h2h (a narrow 26-25 for Metz home). The first half of hat game finished with only 13 goals, which says it all. 40 goals were scored with 10 minutes left on the clock. Both teams will be without one players today - Abdemalek at Nice (scored 6 goals in the first h2h) and left back Aoustin at Metz. The general requisites for a game at 45-50 goals have therefore been met. Details

Considering Okapi's latest performances, I hoped that the margin will be set under 170 points and that happened. Okapi are a run and gun ream who are at an average of around 165 points, however, lately they have played games at lower numbers and the reason is that their opponents were Belgian league's better defenses (Spirou, Oostende, Antwerp, Mons). Brussels are completely different, they are a team that plays away games best at a high pace, they won't mind outrunning which will be imposed by the team from Aalst. Brussels' average is near 170 points, in the last round they went over 170 against Leuven, and they went over today's margin against Mons, Oostende, Antwerp... In their first clash this season, Okapi defeated Brussels 105-88. Brussels's game style is the most similar to Limburg's with whom Okapi went over 180 three times this season. So today we again have a clash of teams who have similar offensive styles and that is why there is value for me in the match over for a medium stake. Details

Not counting in the forfeit against Puig, Bencic played 12 matches this season. Of the 12, seven of them went over today's margin, four in two played sets. Her indoor record this season is 2-1 in favor of the over. Pavlyuchenkova, on the other hand, played 8 matches this season, and three went over this margin. And in two matches she played at least one tiebreak (so realistically she could have taken them into over as well) and against Kerber she played 20 games. So statistically, this margin has a solid basis. Pavlyuchenkova reacted well yesterday after a bad first round. She played well, but then dropped in the second set, which Witthoeft used to some degree. I expect Bencic to react today like she did after the first round. She pointed out that she had not trained at the center court and that caused problems against Beck. But she has now played a match.
Looking at their game styles, they are not very different. They both have strong strokes, they are strong in rallies, and they can be very efficient at serving. These odds, and with that we have a formed margin, are made based on Bencic. But we should keep in mind that Pavlyuchenkova is played at home and her score is 21-1 in her last 22 matches. That is no coincidence, because Pavlyuchenkova loves to play in controlled conditions. But so can Bencic, and she proved that the previous weekend. The margin is pretty low for a match between two players like them, especially because we can expect a lot of battle in the rallies. Besides, I am convinced that we will see a tiebreak today, which is suggested by their stats and playing styles. Details

I'm trying to find a reason for the average odds at Cannes to be at 1,3 and I can+t find any. They are on a three-match losing run, their performances were horrible and still, the bookmakers thinks they're favorites here. Tour trashed them in the last round by playing an average game. Cannes lost 4 out of the last 5 home games, which means not even the home court advantage means much now. Nantes should have beaten Tours away only 10 days ago but the refs robbed them off that win. Nantes' attacking trio is definitely better than Tours'. The home team haven't had efficiency of over 40% for a while now. Nantes also have good middle blockers who can stand up to Cannes' duo. Let's not forget that this is the third h2h of the season. Nantes won the first two (3-1, 3-2) when Cannes were much better. The home team should not be favorites to such an extent today. I think this is more of a 50-50 game. All the bets at visitors have big value, just like total point over. The odds at handicap should be the odds to Nantes' win, not at them getting two sets. Details

This tip is based on stats. RIbica are currently averaging games of 55 goals, while Trimo Trebnje's games average 52,5. Riko Ribnica are one of the fastest teams in the league, especially home where their games finish with an average of 57 goals. Trebinje are a bit slower home but they adapt to the opponent in most away games, which is why their average is 54,5 goals. The first h2h of the season in Trebinje finished at 57 goals. Let's just add that neither teams' goal keepers are doing brilliantly now. Trim's goal keeper Urbic has 6 saves, while Klaric had only 4 last round. This margin is off by a few goals, which makes the over a good choice. Details

We more often encounter the term match up in basketball and it clearly means that someone suits someone else, regardless of form, circumstances. In this case we have a clear tennis match up. It is well known that Monaco and Nadal are good friends and they never hid that, but on the court it is a one-way street from start to finish. If we don't count in the forfeit, Rafa's record against Monaco is 6-0. At Roland Garros he limited him to two (!!) games four years ago, to four (!!) in Davis Cup. These are all best-of-five matches. The domination is obvious in the best-of-three matches as well. 10, 8, 11 and last year 7 games lead by Rafa. In the finale, after Monaco defeated Almagro, Cuevas and Mayer. We can say that he was tired, but that has no relevance because he was confident. Strength was never the Argentinian's problem. It's all clear here. Monaco plays similar tennis, but he is much weaker. Most importantly, Rafa dominates him mentally. And while Nadal may not be himself, but we should look back a bit. Last year he claimed he started playing his tennis in Monte Carlo. He wasn't happy here and he won three out of four matches. Monaco has a much better problem. He played only one match since Kitzbuhel, a win over a challenger player. He was never confident against Nadal, and I doubt he will be today. He lost convincingly every time. Details