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Montpellier will not back down from their game for no one. They have fast backfield players but only Mackovsek takes a lot of shots. Montpellier did great over the weekend to ebat defense-oriented Kolding 30-25 even though Hvidt did great on the goal. Aix are fast, everyone knows that but they are not as good in defense as they used to be. Goal keeper Ereveik is not at the expected level of form. They played Nantes at 68 goals, Toulouse at 60, Creteil at 60 and last week Trembely home at 53, with over 40 saves by both opponent's goal keepers. I don't see how Aix can stand up to players like Simonet, Dolenec and even Montpellier's wings. These two teams' games in Montpellier over the past three seasons finished at 63, 68 and 68 goals. Montpellier didn't change much since, Aix are pretty close to their last season's team too and I think this will finish at over 60 goals. Details

Nantes played without their first goalie, Gorazd Škof, for some time. The first left back Entrerrios is missing too, today, and the important pivot Igor Anić left the team. Their game is far from convincing, and the defense allow over 32 goals per match. They can't be the favorite here in those circumstances. St. Raphael are the second team of the league in their form, right behind PSG. Their game is stable, their defense improved a lot compared to the last season, the goalie duo Đukanović - Popescu look far better than Schulz on the Nantes' goal, and I think they've got a big chance to get points here. Even without their left back Abily who's injured, but Simicu is covering for him well. Details

Goppingen is the base of this bet. They recorded only one over this season in 9 games (against the second-tier Bietigheim in the Cup when they settled the game early on). Most of Goppingen's friendly games finished as unders, just like all of the 7 Bundesliga games. We cannot say the reason for that are the opponents because they faced Eisenach, who play most productive games in Bundesliga, Lubbecke, who concede a lot of goals and take fast shots in attack: There were two title contenders Lowen (got limited to 25) and Kiel (limited to 21 goal) and Burgdorf, Bergischer and Balingen, who can easily go over 60 goals). None of those teams managed to play at 53 goals against the visitors. They conceded most in the two defeats (26 and 25 goals) while not conceding over 22 in any other game. That is no coincidence. Goppingen have a very good defense with two good goal keepers. They are a well-experienced team that doesn't rush into anything in offense and have to play with three right-handed players in the backfield since Nyokas is out. Stuttgart played Gummersbach on Sunday (37-37), most of their games were overs at this margin but we have to look at what's important. They struggled greatly against good defenses and scored 16 against Lowen in the Cup, 20 in the championship, 20 against Fuchse, 19 against Flensburg. I expect the same kind of problems today against Goppingen's defense. If Kiel scored 21 against them, then this opponent should not get close to 25. On top of everything, this is a local derby match, the arena will be packed, which is another reason to believe that this is not the day when Goppinge will record their first over. Details

Hagen beat Mitteldeutscher in the first round, even though they were losing by ten coming to the last quarter. MBC scored 70 till the last period, and then started missing incredibly, only 2 points in the last period, and Hagen scored from every position possible, 8 meters away and more. Hagen showed you can win a game with a back shot only, basically with two players in a good mood (Bell and Mann). But, they'll face a much harder challenge today. They lost to Bayern by 24 at home last season, conceded 98, and then conceded 124 in the away duel, losing by 45. The home team's game style definitely suits the Bavarians, especially the fact that they don't have a real center. Covington got injured, so they're using the young Klassen for the five, and he's far from good. MBC dominated the paint, Bayern will do the same. It's hard to imagine the home team guarding Bryant, Savanović and Thompson well. Add to that that Bayern look decent defensively, better than last year, Hagen's alibi game meets an obstacle too tough. The Bavarians have the width, they've got Rivers, Renfroe and Thompson, three reinforcements in a great form, and an offense powerful enough to use the opponent's weaknesses, first of all weak frontcourt game and soft defense. Details

If this weren't Brose and coach Trinchieri, you could say this was a big margin. But, considering the home team's character and the coach's desire to make his team always give 100%, winning with the difference as big as possible, I think that the Bramberg team can easily go over. Brose beat Oldenburg by 21 in the Supercup, and then Braunschweig by 16 in the away match on Sunday, in a match where they didn't really impress anyone. Crailsheim beat Telekom at home. That was a match with no defenses. The Merlins aren't defensively powerful anyway, their game is based on fast transitions and the back shots. Telekom, still in a bad form since the preseason, allowed them to get wild offensively. Brose won't do the same mistake. The home team own the best defense of the league, they're physically more powerful than the guest on every position, and we can expect them to dominate the rebounds, turnovers and easy transition shots. Crailsheim looked okay in the preseason against the lower-league teams, but they couldn't do much against a team like Crvena Zvezda, and they lost by 20. The total handicap is a decent option, but playing the first half-time handicap looks even better. Brose got 17 points advantage by the halftime of the Supercup match against Oldenburg, and they were leading by 23 on Sunday against Braunschweig, in the first 20 minutes. That says it all when it comes to the way they start their matches. Details

Djakovo lost the last two games by 26 points. The last one against Medvescak was much more painful than the one in Varazdin. When you lose by 12 goals to a team as limited as Medvescak and concede 40 while doing so, that confirms the great limitations the team has. I will point them out once again. The most important problem are the goal keepers who often blow all the hard work the defense puts into the game though their lack of quality. The newly acquired goal keeper, who is supposed to be better than the two Djakovo now has, should have his debut on Saturday. The second problem is right back position, which is played by a right handed player. Only Punda is capable to score over the defense and when the opponents put together a tall defensive line Punda is a few centimeters shot and not efficient enough. Djakovo do not have enough players to choose from, which is why they play both defense and offense with the same lineup. Fatigue therefore often causes trouble in the final quarter of the game. Dubrava are so far ding as expected, which is very good. They already won one tough away game in Ivanic, which is tougher than this one today. The odds should have been at 1,10 if this was a home game for Dubrava. Even though it's dropping the odds we have now are still good. The only advantage for for Djakoviv is the home court. They recently beat Porec there but the quality they have will probably not be enough for a win over another top team. Dubrava won here easily even yesterday when Djakovo had a much better-quality team. Details

There is one interesting detail to this game - Leipzig are sending a helicopter to get their announcer so that he makes to this game for the atmosphere not to suffer. That means Leipzig will not just give up without putting up a fight. Magdeburg and Hamburg already lost here and Flensburg won't have t easy either. I don't expect such a game to be fast-paced. Leipzing recorded only three overs at this margin this season. First time in the Hamburg game home, which fell apart n the last ten minutes, second time against Fuchse, who took a big lead and settled the game early on and third time with Stuttgart at exactly 54 points. The game against fast-paced Gummersbach finished at only 46 goals, the one against Lemgo at 53, and the Cup game against Fuchse at 50...Leipzig have a very good defense with a very good goal keeper Putera. The offense, on the other hand, is not that good or in possession of great potential. 8 out of 23 goals for Leipzig against Gummersbach were from the seven-meter line. Lepzig's offense struggled and today shouldn't be any different as they get faced with Andersson and Mollern and Flensburg's defense. Vranjes' team has 5 overs in 12 official games but interestingly, all of them were recorded in home games, where Flensburg dominate, play fast pace and do much better in offense. They scored 23 goals against Kiel, 24 against Veszperm but got limited to 21 against Wetzlar and 22 goals against Hamburg in Bundesliga. They scored 29 against Bergischer, 3 or 4 of which in the last two minutes (the game finished at 51). Flensbuurg's away games aren't even close to an over. They allowed Veszprem to score 28, Kiel 27 and then Wetzlar 24. Leipzig can cause them just as much trouble as those teams home and that is why I don't expect Flensburg to finish at 30+ goals. Also, Lepzig are not very likely to score 25+ against Flensburg's defense, which is why the total under is the best option here. Details

Kristianstad are playing in a faster rhythm this season, and the results confirm it. The only match they played under 55 was against Lugi who lose all the time. They even managed to get the super slow Kolding to 59, and stopped at 55 against the defense-oriented Vardar. Barca accepted the running a few times, and that one ended at 66. ads. In the national championship, Kristianstad played at 60 against Drott who are known for a faster rhythm, and 63 against the defensively-oriented Ystads. They stopped at 55 against Karlskron who are basically crawling on the court. So, Kristianstad have only one under on this margin, they managed to drag even the typical under-prone teams to this margin, or over it. Aranas aren't a team prone to unders, even though their results from the first three rounds could make you think so.They stopped at 48 against Karlskron, 52 against Ystads and Malmo. The point is that those three teams are prone to under. As soon as they faced Drott, who are willing to run, just like Aranas, the match went to 67 goals total. The guests will face a team who prefer a faster rhythm, and whose coach demands a good offensive game. In that match, a duel over 55 goals total is a reality. Details

I think Olimpija will try to win this by running and rhythm. Sutjeska definitely don't have the fund of players who can keep up with intense pressure, faster offenses, and I think this could be a match with a higher number of points total. Olimpija crushed MTZ in the first round in Ljubljana in a similar manner, and that match went over 160 points. Today's margin is really low, but that's because of the duel against Igokea in the last round, who managed to close off Olimpija's transitions. Sutjeska are able of scoring in series, they showed it against Cedevita's defense who are much better than Olimpija's. They scored 28 against Tajfun in the first round, so their problem isn't the offensive, but their thin rotation, and Olimpija could use that with their point guard Wright, and take this match to high numbers. Details

Zenit won in Krasnoyarsk mostly thanks to 13/23 three-pointers, with 57% you can beat an NBA team. But other than that, they didn't impress me. You can't shoot like that every day. Enisey were leading by 13 at the half-time, they conceded 59 and looked really humble defensively. Now they'll host a team from Volgograd who have a much stronger lineup than Enisey, a top team. They beat VITA in Georgia by 50, but that's not really relevant. What's important is how they played, their game has heads and tails. Everyone knows their job on the court, Cooper is a great point guard, something Dowdell isn't in Zenit. Cooper left shooting the hoop for Mitchell, Hamilton and Johnson. This Oktyabr have enough weapons to play al-pari match here, even to win it. Zenit weren't convincing during the preseason at all, and something like that won't work today. They played two even matches last season, and this one should be similar. Details

Honestly, I expected the margin to be 2-3 goals higher. Ufimocka played 8 official games of the season, all of which went over this margin. That together with the results from the last preseason tournament, means that only their game with this opponent stayed under, at exactly 52 goals. However, it was already 16-14 for Saratov at half time and 22-17 after 40 minutes. I expect a similar game today. In other words, the home team have only one under at this margin i 12 games. I had an opportunity to see coach Alekseev, who's in charge at Russian youth national teams, at EC and WC this summer. He prefers a fast-paced game so Russia played games at around 60 goals. Also, he's been here for a few years now. Last season, Saratov played games at 60 goals on average as well. Only 6 out of 28 of those stayed under this margin. Aleksev was gone because of that WC over the summer but Saratov went over this margin in 3 out of 4 games while he was not there. The only under was the aforementioned Ufimocka match. Saratov has two unders in 7 official games of the season - one in an away game against the tough St. Petersbug (under 50 goals and 32 saves by the goal keepers in total) and the other one at season start against Krasnodar 27-21 after 20-11 in the first half). Details

This margin is off judging by everything. It was set automatically in accordance with the odds. This is the clash between two great players for these conditions, whose style does not give the opponent much room. Serve is also their good weapon. The Frenchman dropped it twice in the first round but he played Bemelmans and fired 18 aces in thee end. Gombos, on the other hand, didn't allow Vanni a single break point. it was the kind of a performance we saw from him at the sart of the season (indoors). He met De Schepper in one of those kind of matches last year. What was saw was a tough match that finished in three sets. I think that is the most realistic outcome today as well but I think they will go over this very wrong margin even in two sets. Details